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布鲁氏菌病模型地方病平衡点的渐近分析

Asymptotic analysis of endemic equilibrium to a brucellosis model.

作者信息

Li Ming Tao, Pei Xin, Zhang Juan, Li Li

机构信息

School of Mathematics, Taiyuan University of Technology, Taiyuan, Shanxi 030024, P. R. China.

Data Science And Technology, North University of China, Taiyuan, Shanxi 030051, P. R. China.

出版信息

Math Biosci Eng. 2019 Jun 22;16(5):5836-5850. doi: 10.3934/mbe.2019291.

Abstract

Brucellosis is one of the worlds major infectious and contagious bacterial disease. In order to study different types of brucellosis transmission models among sheep, we propose a deterministic model to investigate the transmission dynamics of brucellosis with the flock of sheep divided into basic ewes and other sheep. The global dynamical behavior of this model is given: including the basic repro-duction number, the existence and uniqueness of positive equilibrium, the global asymptotic stability of the equilibrium. We prove the uniqueness of positive endemic equilibrium through using proof by contradiction, and the global stability of endemic equilibrium by using Lyapunov function. Especially, we give the specific coefficients of global Lyapunov function, and show the calculation method of these specific coefficients. By running numerical simulations for the cases with the basic reproduction number to demonstrate the global stability of the equilibria and the unique endemic equilibrium, re-spectively. By some sensitivity analysis of the basic reproduction number on parameters, we find that vaccination rate of sheep and seropositive detection rate of recessive infected sheep are very important factor for brucellosis.

摘要

布鲁氏菌病是世界上主要的传染性细菌性疾病之一。为了研究绵羊中不同类型的布鲁氏菌病传播模型,我们提出了一个确定性模型,将羊群分为基础母羊和其他羊来研究布鲁氏菌病的传播动力学。给出了该模型的全局动力学行为:包括基本再生数、正平衡点的存在性和唯一性、平衡点的全局渐近稳定性。我们通过反证法证明了正地方病平衡点的唯一性,并利用李雅普诺夫函数证明了地方病平衡点的全局稳定性。特别地,我们给出了全局李雅普诺夫函数的具体系数,并展示了这些具体系数的计算方法。通过对基本再生数的情况进行数值模拟,分别证明了平衡点的全局稳定性和唯一的地方病平衡点。通过对基本再生数关于参数的一些敏感性分析,我们发现绵羊的疫苗接种率和隐性感染绵羊的血清阳性检出率是布鲁氏菌病的非常重要的因素。

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