Sun Gui-Quan, Li Ming-Tao, Zhang Juan, Zhang Wei, Pei Xin, Jin Zhen
Department of Mathematics, North University of China, Taiyuan, Shanxi 030051, China.
Complex Systems Research Center, Shanxi University, Taiyuan, Shanxi 030006, China.
Comput Struct Biotechnol J. 2020 Nov 21;18:3843-3860. doi: 10.1016/j.csbj.2020.11.014. eCollection 2020.
Brucellosis, the most common zoonotic disease worldwide, represents a great threat to animal husbandry with the potential to cause enormous economic losses. Meanwhile, brucellosis is one of the major public-health problems in China, and the number of human brucellosis cases has increased dramatically in recent years. In order to show the main features of brucellosis transmission in China, we give a systematic review on the transmission dynamics of brucellosis including a series of mathematical models and their applications in China. For different situations, dynamical models of brucellosis transmission in single population and multiple populations are devised based on ordinary differential equations. Furthermore, we revealed the spatial-temporal characteristics and effective control measures of brucellosis transmission. The results may provide new perspectives for the prevention and control of other types of zoonoses.
布鲁氏菌病是全球最常见的人畜共患病,对畜牧业构成巨大威胁,有可能造成巨大经济损失。同时,布鲁氏菌病是中国主要的公共卫生问题之一,近年来人间布鲁氏菌病病例数急剧增加。为了展现中国布鲁氏菌病传播的主要特征,我们对布鲁氏菌病的传播动力学进行了系统综述,包括一系列数学模型及其在中国的应用。针对不同情况,基于常微分方程设计了单种群和多种群布鲁氏菌病传播的动力学模型。此外,我们揭示了布鲁氏菌病传播的时空特征及有效防控措施。研究结果可能为其他类型人畜共患病的预防和控制提供新的视角。