Predicting Dynamic Embedding Trajectory in Temporal Interaction Networks.

Modeling sequential interactions between users and items/products is crucial in domains such as e-commerce, social networking, and education. Representation learning presents an attractive opportunity to model the dynamic evolution of users and items, where each user/item can be embedded in a Euclidean space and its evolution can be modeled by an embedding trajectory in this space. However, existing dynamic embedding methods generate embeddings only when users take actions and do not explicitly model the future trajectory of the user/item in the embedding space. Here we propose , a coupled recurrent neural network model that learns the embedding trajectories of users and items. employs two recurrent neural networks to update the embedding of a user and an item at every interaction. Crucially, also models the future embedding trajectory of a user/item. To this end, it introduces a novel projection operator that learns to estimate the embedding of the user at any time in the future. These estimated embeddings are then used to predict future user-item interactions. To make the method scalable, we develop a algorithm that creates time-consistent batches and leads to 9× faster training. We conduct six experiments to validate on two prediction tasks- future interaction prediction and state change prediction-using four real-world datasets. We show that outperforms six state-of-the-art algorithms in these tasks by at least 20% in predicting future interactions and 12% in state change prediction.