Global Development Research, Institute for Disease Modeling, Bellevue, Washington.
J Infect Dis. 2020 Feb 3;221(4):561-565. doi: 10.1093/infdis/jiz488.
Despite increased efforts and spending toward polio eradication, it has yet to be eliminated worldwide. We aimed to project economic costs of polio eradication compared to permanent control. We used historical Financial Resource Requirements from the Global Polio Eradication Initiative, as well as vaccination and population data from publicly available sources, to project costs for routine immunization, immunization campaigns, surveillance and laboratory resources, technical assistance, social mobilization, treatment, and overhead. We found that cumulative spending for a control strategy would exceed that for an eradication strategy in 2032 (range, 2027-2051). Eradication of polio would likely be cost-saving compared to permanent control.
尽管在消灭脊灰炎方面的投入和努力有所增加,但脊灰炎仍未在全球范围内被消灭。我们旨在预测消灭脊灰炎与永久控制的经济成本。我们使用全球消灭脊灰炎倡议的历史财务资源需求,以及来自公开来源的疫苗接种和人口数据,预测常规免疫、免疫运动、监测和实验室资源、技术援助、社会动员、治疗和管理费用。我们发现,到 2032 年,控制策略的累计支出将超过消灭策略(范围:2027-2051 年)。与永久控制相比,消灭脊灰炎可能更具成本效益。