Epidemiology and Public Health, Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, Allschwil, Basel, 4123, Switzerland.
University of Basel, Basel, 4001, Switzerland.
Nat Commun. 2022 Feb 25;13(1):1051. doi: 10.1038/s41467-022-28598-w.
Gambiense human African trypanosomiasis (gHAT) is marked for elimination of transmission by 2030, but the disease persists in several low-income countries. We couple transmission and health outcomes models to examine the cost-effectiveness of four gHAT elimination strategies in five settings - spanning low- to high-risk - of the Democratic Republic of Congo. Alongside passive screening in fixed health facilities, the strategies include active screening at average or intensified coverage levels, alone or with vector control with a scale-back algorithm when no cases are reported for three consecutive years. In high or moderate-risk settings, costs of gHAT strategies are primarily driven by active screening and, if used, vector control. Due to the cessation of active screening and vector control, most investments (75-80%) are made by 2030 and vector control might be cost-saving while ensuring elimination of transmission. In low-risk settings, costs are driven by passive screening, and minimum-cost strategies consisting of active screening and passive screening lead to elimination of transmission by 2030 with high probability.
冈比亚锥虫病(gHAT)的传播目标是在 2030 年前消除,但该疾病在几个低收入国家仍然存在。我们将传播和健康结果模型结合起来,在刚果民主共和国的五个不同风险程度的地区,对四种 gHAT 消除策略的成本效益进行了评估。除了在固定卫生设施进行被动筛查外,这些策略还包括在平均或强化覆盖水平下进行主动筛查,单独或与具有规模缩减算法的病媒控制结合使用,如果连续三年没有报告病例,则停止使用。在高或中风险地区,gHAT 策略的成本主要由主动筛查和如果使用病媒控制驱动。由于主动筛查和病媒控制的停止,大部分投资(75-80%)将在 2030 年前完成,并且病媒控制可能在确保消除传播的同时节省成本。在低风险地区,成本由被动筛查驱动,并且由主动筛查和被动筛查组成的最低成本策略很有可能在 2030 年前实现传播的消除。