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评价土壤和水评估工具以及人工神经网络模型在亚洲不同气候区的水文模拟中的应用。

Evaluation of Soil and Water Assessment Tool and Artificial Neural Network models for hydrologic simulation in different climatic regions of Asia.

机构信息

Water Engineering and Management, School of Engineering and Technology, Asian Institute of Technology, Pathum Thani 12120, Thailand.

Water Engineering and Management, School of Engineering and Technology, Asian Institute of Technology, Pathum Thani 12120, Thailand.

出版信息

Sci Total Environ. 2020 Jan 20;701:134308. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.134308. Epub 2019 Sep 13.

Abstract

In this study, a physically-based hydrological model, Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) and three types of Artificial Neural Network (ANN) models were used to simulate daily streamflow, and results were compared with observed data for performance analysis. The study was carried out in three different river basins with three different climatic characteristics, namely the West-Seti River Basin in a sub-tropical (partially wet) climatic region, Sre Pok River Basin in a tropical (wet) climatic region and Hari Rod River Basin in a semi-arid (dry) climatic region. The SWAT and ANN models were evaluated using statistical indicators such as the correlation coefficient (R), Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE), and percentage bias (PBIAS). The performance of ANN models was found to be very good with both R and NSE values greater than 0.95 for the training and validation periods in the West-Seti River Basin and Sre Pok River Basin. Whereas, in the Hari Rod River Basin, the performance of the SWAT model was good with both R and NSE values greater than 0.60 for the calibration and validation periods. Moreover, the performance of SWAT and ANN models was evaluated based on hydrological indicators (i.e. annual discharge, base flow, Q, and Q), during different flow periods (very high to very low flow) using flow duration curves (FDCs). The SWAT model was found to be better for low flow simulation and the ANN model performed better for high flow simulation in the three river basins.

摘要

本研究采用基于物理的水文模型——土壤和水评估工具(SWAT)和三种类型的人工神经网络(ANN)模型来模拟日流量,并将结果与观测数据进行比较,以进行性能分析。研究在三个具有不同气候特征的流域进行,即亚热带(部分湿润)气候区的西塞提河流域、热带(湿润)气候区的斯里波克河流域和半干旱(干燥)气候区的哈里罗河流域。SWAT 和 ANN 模型采用统计指标进行评估,如相关系数 (R)、纳什-苏特克里夫效率 (NSE) 和偏度百分比 (PBIAS)。在西塞提河流域和斯里波克河流域,ANN 模型的性能非常好,训练期和验证期的 R 和 NSE 值均大于 0.95。而在哈里罗河流域,SWAT 模型的性能较好,校准期和验证期的 R 和 NSE 值均大于 0.60。此外,还根据水文指标(即年径流量、基流量、Q 和 Q)和不同流量期(高流量到低流量)使用流量历时曲线(FDCs)对 SWAT 和 ANN 模型的性能进行了评估。在三个流域中,SWAT 模型更适合模拟低流量,而 ANN 模型更适合模拟高流量。

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