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中国港口危险货物事故的因素诊断与未来治理。

Factor diagnosis and future governance of dangerous goods accidents in China's ports.

机构信息

College of Transport and Communications, Shanghai Maritime University, Shanghai, 201306, China.

School of Mathematics, Northwest University, Xi'an, 710127, PR China; Institute of Concepts, Cognition and Intelligence, Northwest University, Xi'an, 710127, China.

出版信息

Environ Pollut. 2020 Feb;257:113582. doi: 10.1016/j.envpol.2019.113582. Epub 2019 Nov 9.

DOI:10.1016/j.envpol.2019.113582
PMID:31753640
Abstract

Dangerous goods are particularly hazardous, as they can be flammable, explosive, and toxic. These characteristics make them vulnerable to accidents, and such mishaps during port operations can lead to massive economic losses and even deaths. It is, therefore, necessary and important to analyze and study the dangerous goods accidents at ports, so as to identify major factors and prevent them. Formal concept analysis (FCA) is a powerful tool for rule extraction. This paper introduces FCA along with relevant documents and case studies to analyze the dangerous goods accidents at China's ports, building a concept lattice model of dangerous goods accidents at China's ports, and reduces the condition attributes to come up with three key attributes of dangerous goods accidents at China's ports: warehousing management, facilities and equipment, goods registration and extract four effective diagnostic rules for dangerous goods accidents at ports. This paper proposes corresponding governance strategies to the rules of dangerous goods accidents, which can significantly prevent and manage dangerous goods accidents at China's ports in the future. In the future, the concept scale can be introduced to study the problem that the influencing factor is multi-valued attribute so as to expand the scope of research.

摘要

危险货物特别危险,因为它们可能易燃、易爆和有毒。这些特性使它们容易发生事故,而在港口作业期间发生此类事故可能导致巨大的经济损失,甚至人员死亡。因此,有必要对港口危险货物事故进行分析和研究,以确定主要因素并加以预防。形式概念分析(FCA)是一种用于提取规则的强大工具。本文介绍了 FCA 以及相关文件和案例研究,以分析中国港口的危险货物事故,构建中国港口危险货物事故的概念格模型,并将条件属性减少到三个关键属性,提出中国港口危险货物事故的三个关键属性:仓储管理、设施和设备、货物登记,并提取出四条有效的港口危险货物事故诊断规则。本文针对危险货物事故规则提出了相应的治理策略,这将对未来中国港口危险货物事故的预防和管理起到重要作用。未来,可以引入概念规模来研究影响因素是多值属性的问题,从而扩展研究范围。

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