Ivanecz Arpad, Plahuta Irena, Magdalenić Tomislav, Mencinger Matej, Peruš Iztok, Potrč Stojan, Krebs Bojan
Department of Abdominal and General Surgery, University Medical Center Maribor, Ljubljanska 5, 2000, Maribor, Slovenia.
Faculty of Civil Engineering, Transportation Engineering and Architecture, University of Maribor, Smetanova ulica 17, 2000, Maribor, Slovenia.
BMC Surg. 2019 Nov 27;19(1):179. doi: 10.1186/s12893-019-0645-y.
This study aimed to externally validate and upgrade the recent difficulty scoring system (DSS) proposed by Halls et al. to predict intraoperative complications (IOC) during laparoscopic liver resection (LLR).
The DSS was validated in a cohort of 128 consecutive patients undergoing pure LLRs between 2008 and 2019 at a single tertiary referral center. The validated DSS includes four difficulty levels based on five risk factors (neoadjuvant chemotherapy, previous open liver resection, lesion type, lesion size and classification of resection). As established by the validated DSS, IOC was defined as excessive blood loss (> 775 mL), conversion to an open approach and unintentional damage to surrounding structures. Additionally, intra- and postoperative outcomes were compared according to the difficulty levels with usual statistic methods. The same five risk factors were used for validation done by linear and advanced nonlinear (artificial neural network) models. The study was supported by mathematical computations to obtain a mean risk curve predicting the probability of IOC for every difficulty score.
The difficulty level of LLR was rated as low, moderate, high and extremely high in 36 (28.1%), 63 (49.2%), 27 (21.1%) and 2 (1.6%) patients, respectively. IOC was present in 23 (17.9%) patients. Blood loss of >775 mL occurred in 8 (6.2%) patients. Conversion to open approach was required in 18 (14.0%) patients. No patients suffered from unintentional damage to surrounding structures. Rates of IOC (0, 9.5, 55.5 and 100%) increased gradually with statistically significant value among difficulty levels (P < 0.001). The relations between the difficulty level, need for transfusion, operative time, hepatic pedicle clamping, and major postoperative morbidity were statistically significant (P < 0.05). Linear and nonlinear validation models showed a strong correlation (correlation coefficients 0.914 and 0.948, respectively) with the validated DSS. The Weibull cumulative distribution function was used for predicting the mean risk probability curve of IOC.
This external validation proved this DSS based on patient's, tumor and surgical factors enables us to estimate the risk of intra- and postoperative complications. A surgeon should be aware of an increased risk of complications before starting with more complex procedures.
本研究旨在对Halls等人最近提出的用于预测腹腔镜肝切除术(LLR)术中并发症(IOC)的难度评分系统(DSS)进行外部验证和升级。
在一家单一的三级转诊中心,对2008年至2019年间连续接受单纯LLR的128例患者进行队列研究以验证DSS。经过验证的DSS基于五个风险因素(新辅助化疗、既往开腹肝切除术、病变类型、病变大小和切除分类)分为四个难度级别。根据经过验证的DSS,IOC定义为失血过多(>775 mL)、转为开腹手术以及对周围结构的意外损伤。此外,采用常规统计方法比较不同难度级别患者的术中及术后结果。使用线性和先进的非线性(人工神经网络)模型对相同的五个风险因素进行验证。该研究得到数学计算的支持,以获得预测每个难度评分下IOC概率的平均风险曲线。
LLR的难度级别分别为低、中、高和极高的患者有36例(28.1%)、63例(49.2%)、27例(21.1%)和2例(1.6%)。23例(17.9%)患者发生了IOC。8例(6.2%)患者失血>775 mL。18例(14.0%)患者需要转为开腹手术。没有患者发生对周围结构的意外损伤。IOC发生率(0、9.5%、55.5%和100%)随着难度级别逐渐增加,差异具有统计学意义(P<0.001)。难度级别与输血需求、手术时间、肝门阻断以及术后主要并发症之间的关系具有统计学意义(P<0.05)。线性和非线性验证模型与经过验证的DSS显示出很强的相关性(相关系数分别为0.914和0.948)。使用威布尔累积分布函数预测IOC的平均风险概率曲线。
这项外部验证证明,基于患者、肿瘤和手术因素的该DSS能够让我们评估术中及术后并发症的风险。外科医生在开始进行更复杂的手术之前应意识到并发症风险的增加。