解释青少年酗酒、吸毒和犯罪轨迹:具有社会生态协变量的潜在转变分析。

Explaining trajectories of adolescent drunkenness, drug use, and criminality: A latent transition analysis with socio-ecological covariates.

机构信息

Department of Social Work, University of Gothenburg, Sweden.

Department of Social Work, University of Gothenburg, Sweden.

出版信息

Addict Behav. 2020 Mar;102:106145. doi: 10.1016/j.addbeh.2019.106145. Epub 2019 Nov 19.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Although there are diverse trajectories in adolescent substance use and criminality, it is less clear why some adolescents follow one pathway and not another. In this study, we examine how different domains in a young person's life, such as temperament, peer, and family factors, are linked to different trajectories and whether some domains are more strongly associated with specific patterns of these behaviours.

METHODS

Data comes from the Longitudinal Research on Development in Adolescence (LoRDIA) study in Sweden. Adolescents were surveyed at baseline (n = 755, age 13, grade 7) and followed up at grades 8 and 9. Latent transition analysis and multinomial logistic regression were conducted.

RESULTS

Four distinct statuses were found, showing heterogeneity in adolescent substance use and criminal behaviours. These statuses were however highly stable. Individual, peer and family domains were all relevant in distinguishing between the statuses. A key finding is that the relative importance of these domains differed between statuses, suggesting differential effects of the domains on the different trajectories. The pre-teen family environment, as well as criminal peers, was most strongly associated with a more entrenched group. This was not the case for a 'Dabblers' group, where novelty-seeking was weakly linked. For the 'Occasional Law Breakers', criminal peers was more strongly associated.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results suggest that substance use and criminality in early to mid-adolescence is more diverse than current theories allow. Moreover, the different trajectories in these behaviours are likely to have different causal mechanisms, which has important implications for theory, policy and practice.

摘要

背景

尽管青少年的物质使用和犯罪行为存在多种轨迹,但为什么有些青少年会选择走某一条道路而不是另一条道路,这一点还不太清楚。在这项研究中,我们研究了年轻人生活中的不同领域,如气质、同伴和家庭因素,如何与不同的轨迹相关联,以及某些领域是否与这些行为的特定模式更密切相关。

方法

数据来自瑞典青少年发展纵向研究(LoRDIA)。在基线时(n=755,年龄 13 岁,7 年级)对青少年进行了调查,并在 8 年级和 9 年级进行了随访。进行了潜在转变分析和多项逻辑回归。

结果

发现了四个不同的状态,显示了青少年物质使用和犯罪行为的异质性。然而,这些状态非常稳定。个体、同伴和家庭领域在区分状态方面都很重要。一个关键发现是,这些领域在不同状态之间的相对重要性不同,这表明这些领域对不同轨迹的影响不同。青少年前期的家庭环境以及犯罪同伴与更根深蒂固的群体最相关。对于“偶尔违法者”群体来说并非如此,在这个群体中,寻求新奇与物质使用和犯罪行为之间的联系较弱。对于“偶尔违法者”群体来说,犯罪同伴的关联更紧密。

结论

我们的结果表明,青少年早期到中期的物质使用和犯罪行为比当前的理论所允许的更为多样化。此外,这些行为的不同轨迹可能具有不同的因果机制,这对理论、政策和实践具有重要意义。

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