Department of Environmental Science, Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, LA, USA.
Ambio. 2020 Sep;49(9):1567-1580. doi: 10.1007/s13280-019-01301-y. Epub 2019 Dec 9.
The social cost of carbon (SCC) is an estimate of the costs that society will incur because of the emission of one tonne of CO. Because of the large uncertainties in the effects of climate change and the subjectivity of the discount rate, estimates of SCC range widely, from - 10.2 to 105 213$ t in 2010 USD. Despite this range, the SCC has been used or proposed as a basis for a wide variety of policymaking including cost-benefit analysis and carbon taxes. The SCC suffers from several practical and philosophical weaknesses: it is anthropocentric, it neglects the acidification of oceans, it assumes that quantifiable economic variables like GDP are the primary costs that humans will experience from climate change, and it is impossible to quantify objectively. Further, the ethical implications of a carbon pricing policy include both the value of the carbon price, and the use of revenues generated by the policy. Thus, revenue neutral carbon policies as in some SCC-based proposals, are unlikely to be just. Here, we propose that the cost of emerging negative-emission technologies would be an alternative means for setting a carbon price and avoid these philosophical and practical weaknesses.
社会碳成本(SCC)是对社会因排放一吨二氧化碳而产生的成本的估计。由于气候变化影响的不确定性较大,贴现率的主观性较强,SCC 的估计范围很广,2010 年美元为-10.2 到 105213 美元。尽管范围很广,但 SCC 已被用作或提议用作包括成本效益分析和碳税在内的各种政策制定的基础。SCC 存在几个实际和哲学上的弱点:它是人类中心主义的,它忽略了海洋酸化,它假设像 GDP 这样可量化的经济变量是人类将经历气候变化的主要成本,而且它不可能客观地量化。此外,碳定价政策的伦理含义包括碳价的价值和政策产生的收入的使用。因此,像一些基于 SCC 的提议那样,收入中性的碳政策不太可能公正。在这里,我们提出新兴负排放技术的成本将是设定碳价格的另一种手段,并避免这些哲学和实际的弱点。