Suppr超能文献

重新审视碳的社会成本。

Revisiting the social cost of carbon.

作者信息

Nordhaus William D

机构信息

Department of Economics, Yale University, New Haven, CT 06520-8268

出版信息

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2017 Feb 14;114(7):1518-1523. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1609244114. Epub 2017 Jan 31.

Abstract

The social cost of carbon (SCC) is a central concept for understanding and implementing climate change policies. This term represents the economic cost caused by an additional ton of carbon dioxide emissions or its equivalent. The present study presents updated estimates based on a revised DICE model (Dynamic Integrated model of Climate and the Economy). The study estimates that the SCC is $31 per ton of CO in 2010 US$ for the current period (2015). For the central case, the real SCC grows at 3% per year over the period to 2050. The paper also compares the estimates with those from other sources.

摘要

碳的社会成本(SCC)是理解和实施气候变化政策的核心概念。该术语代表额外一吨二氧化碳排放或其等效物所造成的经济成本。本研究基于修订后的DICE模型(气候与经济动态综合模型)给出了最新估计。该研究估计,当前时期(2015年)碳的社会成本按2010年美元计算为每吨31美元。在核心情形下,到2050年期间实际碳的社会成本每年增长3%。本文还将这些估计与其他来源的估计进行了比较。

相似文献

1
Revisiting the social cost of carbon.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2017 Feb 14;114(7):1518-1523. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1609244114. Epub 2017 Jan 31.
2
Revisiting the social cost of carbon after INDC implementation in Malaysia: 2050.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2019 Feb;26(6):6000-6013. doi: 10.1007/s11356-018-3947-1. Epub 2019 Jan 6.
3
The mortality cost of carbon.
Nat Commun. 2021 Jul 29;12(1):4467. doi: 10.1038/s41467-021-24487-w.
4
Policies, projections, and the social cost of carbon: Results from the DICE-2023 model.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2024 Mar 26;121(13):e2312030121. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2312030121. Epub 2024 Mar 19.
5
Inequality, climate impacts on the future poor, and carbon prices.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2015 Dec 29;112(52):15827-32. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1513967112. Epub 2015 Dec 7.
7
Beyond the social cost of carbon: Negative emission technologies as a means for biophysically setting the price of carbon.
Ambio. 2020 Sep;49(9):1567-1580. doi: 10.1007/s13280-019-01301-y. Epub 2019 Dec 9.
8
Economics of the disintegration of the Greenland ice sheet.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2019 Jun 18;116(25):12261-12269. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1814990116. Epub 2019 Jun 4.
9
Reduced carbon emission estimates from fossil fuel combustion and cement production in China.
Nature. 2015 Aug 20;524(7565):335-8. doi: 10.1038/nature14677.
10
The social cost of carbon driven by green behaviors.
PLoS One. 2023 Jun 30;18(6):e0286534. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0286534. eCollection 2023.

引用本文的文献

1
Navigating synergies vs. trade-offs between climate change mitigation and biodiversity conservation.
NPJ Biodivers. 2025 Jun 3;4(1):22. doi: 10.1038/s44185-025-00092-8.
2
Urban and non-urban contributions to the social cost of carbon.
Nat Commun. 2025 May 6;16(1):4193. doi: 10.1038/s41467-025-59466-y.
3
Economic consequences of spatial variation and temporal variability of climate change.
Ann N Y Acad Sci. 2025 May;1547(1):170-182. doi: 10.1111/nyas.15335. Epub 2025 Apr 13.
4
Weakening AMOC reduces ocean carbon uptake and increases the social cost of carbon.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2025 Mar 4;122(9):e2419543122. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2419543122. Epub 2025 Feb 24.
5
Optimal life-cycle adaptation of coastal infrastructure under climate change.
Nat Commun. 2025 Jan 27;16(1):1076. doi: 10.1038/s41467-024-55679-9.
7
Where we are and where we will go to achieve carbon neutrality: A review of quantitative socioeconomic modeling research.
Fundam Res. 2024 Feb 8;4(6):1696-1709. doi: 10.1016/j.fmre.2023.12.020. eCollection 2024 Nov.
8
Synthesis of evidence yields high social cost of carbon due to structural model variation and uncertainties.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2024 Dec 24;121(52):e2410733121. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2410733121. Epub 2024 Dec 17.
9
Stabilising CO concentration as a channel for global disaster risk mitigation.
Sci Rep. 2024 Nov 24;14(1):29120. doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-79437-5.
10
US land sector mitigation investments and emissions implications.
Nat Commun. 2024 Nov 7;15(1):9625. doi: 10.1038/s41467-024-53915-w.

本文引用的文献

1
An optimal transition path for controlling greenhouse gases.
Science. 1992 Nov 20;258(5086):1315-9. doi: 10.1126/science.258.5086.1315.

文献AI研究员

20分钟写一篇综述,助力文献阅读效率提升50倍。

立即体验

用中文搜PubMed

大模型驱动的PubMed中文搜索引擎

马上搜索

文档翻译

学术文献翻译模型,支持多种主流文档格式。

立即体验