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一个耦合的饲料-食草动物模型预测了在区域尺度上的牲畜生产和野生动物栖息地的生存能力。

A coupled forage-grazer model predicts viability of livestock production and wildlife habitat at the regional scale.

机构信息

Natural Capital Project, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA.

Dept. of Entomology, University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL, USA.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2019 Dec 30;9(1):19957. doi: 10.1038/s41598-019-56470-3.

Abstract

Informed management of livestock on rangelands underpins both the livelihoods of communities that depend on livestock for sustenance, and the conservation of wildlife that often depend on livestock-dominated landscapes for habitat. Understanding spatial patterns of rangeland productivity is therefore crucial to designing global development strategies that balance social and environmental benefits. Here we introduce a new rangeland production model that dynamically links the Century ecosystem model with a basic ruminant diet selection and physiology model. With lightweight input data requirements that can be met with global sources, the model estimates the viability of broad livestock management decisions, and suggests possible implications of these management decisions for grazing wildlife. Using minimal field data, the new rangeland production model enables the reliable estimation of cattle stocking density; this is an important predictor of the viability of livestock production and forage available for grazing wildlife.

摘要

在草原上对牲畜进行知情管理,不仅支撑了依赖牲畜维持生计的社区的生计,也支撑了野生动物的保护,而野生动物往往依赖以牲畜为主导的景观来维持栖息地。因此,了解草原生产力的空间格局对于设计平衡社会和环境效益的全球发展战略至关重要。在这里,我们引入了一种新的草原生产模型,该模型将世纪生态系统模型与基本反刍动物饮食选择和生理学模型动态链接。该模型的输入数据要求较轻,可通过全球资源满足,它可以估算广泛的牲畜管理决策的可行性,并提出这些管理决策对放牧野生动物的可能影响。使用最少的实地数据,新的草原生产模型可以可靠地估算牛的放养密度;这是牲畜生产可行性和可用于放牧野生动物的饲料的重要预测指标。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/085c/6937286/346687f629c7/41598_2019_56470_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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