Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada.
Canadian Blood Services, Ottawa, Canada; University of Alberta, Edmonton, Canada.
Clin Microbiol Infect. 2020 Sep;26(9):1257.e1-1257.e7. doi: 10.1016/j.cmi.2020.01.004. Epub 2020 Jan 11.
Invasive meningococcal disease (IMD) is a severe bacterial infection that displays wintertime seasonality in temperate countries. Mechanisms driving seasonality are poorly understood and may include environmental conditions and/or respiratory virus infections. We evaluated the contribution of influenza and environmental conditions to IMD risk, using standardized methodology, across multiple geographical regions.
We evaluated 3276 IMD cases occurring between January 1999 and December 2011 in 11 jurisdictions in Australia, Canada, France and the United States. Effects of environmental exposures and normalized weekly influenza activity on IMD risk were evaluated using a case-crossover design. Meta-analytic methods were used to evaluate homogeneity of effects and to identify sources of between-region heterogeneity.
After adjustment for environmental factors, elevated influenza activity at a 2-week lag was associated with increased IMD risk (adjusted odds ratio (OR) per standard deviation increase 1.29; 95% confidence interval, 1.04-1.59). This increase was homogeneous across the jurisdictions studied. By contrast, although associations between environmental exposures and IMD were identified in individual jurisdictions, none was generalizable.
Using a self-matched design that adjusts for both coseasonality and case characteristics, we found that surges in influenza activity result in an acute increase in population-level IMD risk. This effect is seen across diverse geographic regions in North America, France and Australia. The impact of influenza infection on downstream meningococcal risk should be considered a potential benefit of influenza immunization programmes.
侵袭性脑膜炎球菌病(IMD)是一种严重的细菌感染,在温带国家呈冬季季节性发病。发病机制尚不清楚,可能包括环境条件和/或呼吸道病毒感染。我们使用标准化方法评估了流感和环境条件对 IMD 风险的贡献,评估范围涉及多个地理区域。
我们评估了 1999 年 1 月至 2011 年 12 月期间在澳大利亚、加拿大、法国和美国的 11 个司法管辖区发生的 3276 例 IMD 病例。使用病例交叉设计评估环境暴露和标准化每周流感活动对 IMD 风险的影响。采用荟萃分析方法评估效应的同质性,并确定区域间异质性的来源。
在调整环境因素后,2 周滞后的流感活动升高与 IMD 风险增加相关(每标准差增加的调整优势比 1.29;95%置信区间,1.04-1.59)。这种增加在研究的司法管辖区内是同质的。相比之下,尽管在个别司法管辖区中确定了环境暴露与 IMD 之间的关联,但没有一个是普遍适用的。
使用自我匹配设计,同时调整季节性和病例特征,我们发现流感活动的激增导致人群 IMD 风险急性增加。这种效应在北美、法国和澳大利亚的不同地理区域都可以看到。流感感染对下游脑膜炎奈瑟菌风险的影响应被视为流感免疫计划的潜在益处。