Sichuan Center for Rural Development Research, College of Management of Sichuan Agricultural University, Chengdu 611130, China.
College of Management of Sichuan Agricultural University, Chengdu 611130, China.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2020 Jan 17;17(2):602. doi: 10.3390/ijerph17020602.
Based on survey data from 327 rural households in the areas affected by the Wenchuan Earthquake and Lushan Earthquake in Sichuan Province, this study systematically analyzed disaster risk perception, sense of place, evacuation willingness, and relocation willingness among residents in these earthquake-stricken areas. Further, this study constructed an ordinal logistic regression analysis to probe the correlations between residents' disaster risk perception or sense of place and evacuation willingness and relocation willingness, respectively. The results showed that (1) faced with the threat of earthquake disasters, residents have a strong willingness to evacuate and relocate. Specifically, 93% and 78% of the residents in the Wenchuan Earthquake and Lushan Earthquake areas were willing to evacuate and relocate, respectively, whereas 4% and 17% of the residents were unwilling to evacuate and relocate, respectively. (2) Place dependence and the severity of disaster occurrence were significantly positively correlated with residents' evacuation willingness, while the interaction term between place dependence and the severity of disaster occurrence was negatively related to residents' evacuation willingness. Specifically, when everything else remains constant, every one-unit increase in place dependence and severity corresponds to increases in the odds of willingness to evacuate by factors of 0.042 and 0.051, respectively; every one-unit increase in place dependence × severity corresponds to a decrease in the odds of willingness to evacuation by a factor of 0.004. (3) Place identity was significantly negatively correlated with residents' relocation willingness, while place dependence and severity of disaster occurrence were positively related to residents' relocation willingness. The interaction term between place dependence and the severity of disaster occurrence as well as the interaction term between place identity and severity of disaster occurrence were significantly negatively correlated with residents' relocation willingness. Specifically, every one-unit increase in place identity corresponds to a decrease in the odds of willingness to relocate by a factor of 0.034, while every one-unit increase in place dependence and severity corresponds to increases in the odds of willingness to relocate by factors of 0.041 and 0.028, respectively, and every one-unit increase in place dependence × severity and place identity × severity corresponds to decreases in the odds of willingness to relocate by factors of 0.003 and 0.003, respectively.
基于四川省汶川地震和芦山地震灾区 327 户农村家庭的调查数据，本研究系统分析了灾区居民的灾害风险感知、地方感、撤离意愿和搬迁意愿。进一步，本研究构建了有序逻辑回归分析，分别探讨了居民灾害风险感知或地方感与撤离意愿和搬迁意愿之间的相关性。结果表明：(1)面对地震灾害的威胁，居民有强烈的撤离和搬迁意愿。具体而言，汶川地震和芦山地震灾区分别有 93%和 78%的居民愿意撤离和搬迁，而分别有 4%和 17%的居民不愿意撤离和搬迁。(2)地方依赖和灾害发生严重程度与居民的撤离意愿呈显著正相关，而地方依赖和灾害发生严重程度的交互项与居民的撤离意愿呈负相关。具体而言，在其他条件不变的情况下，地方依赖和灾害发生严重程度每增加一个单位，愿意撤离的几率分别增加 0.042 和 0.051 倍；地方依赖×灾害发生严重程度每增加一个单位，愿意撤离的几率减少 0.004 倍。(3)地方认同与居民搬迁意愿呈显著负相关，而地方依赖和灾害发生严重程度与居民搬迁意愿呈正相关。地方依赖和灾害发生严重程度的交互项以及地方认同和灾害发生严重程度的交互项与居民搬迁意愿呈显著负相关。具体而言，地方认同每增加一个单位，愿意搬迁的几率减少 0.034 倍，地方依赖和灾害发生严重程度每增加一个单位，愿意搬迁的几率分别增加 0.041 和 0.028 倍，地方依赖×灾害发生严重程度和地方认同×灾害发生严重程度每增加一个单位，愿意搬迁的几率分别减少 0.003 和 0.003 倍。
