School of Life Sciences, University of Sussex, Brighton BN1 9QG, UK.
Sussex Sustainability Research Programme (SSRP), University of Sussex, Brighton BN1 9QG, UK.
Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 2020 Mar 16;375(1794):20190125. doi: 10.1098/rstb.2019.0125. Epub 2020 Jan 27.
Large-bodied mammalian herbivores can influence processes that exacerbate or mitigate climate change. Herbivore impacts are, in turn, influenced by predators that place top-down forcing on prey species within a given body size range. Here, we explore how the functional composition of terrestrial large-herbivore and -carnivore guilds varies between three mammal distribution scenarios: Present-Natural, Current-Day and Extant-Native Trophic (ENT) Rewilding. Considering the effects of herbivore species weakly influenced by top-down forcing, we quantify the relative influence keystone large-herbivore guilds have on methane emissions, woody vegetation expansion, fire dynamics, large-seed dispersal, and nitrogen and phosphorus transport potential. We find strong regional differences in the number of herbivores under weak top-down regulation between our three scenarios, with important implications for how they will influence climate change relevant processes. Under the Present-Natural non-ruminant, megaherbivore, browsers were a particularly important guild across much of the world. Megaherbivore extinction and range contraction and the arrival of livestock mean large, ruminant, grazers have become more dominant. ENT Rewilding can restore the Afrotropics and the Indo-Malay realm to the Present-Natural benchmark, but causes top-down forcing of the largest herbivores to become commonplace elsewhere. ENT Rewilding will reduce methane emissions, but does not maximize natural climate solution potential. This article is part of the theme issue 'Climate change and ecosystems: threats, opportunities and solutions'.
大体型的哺乳动物食草动物可以影响加剧或缓解气候变化的过程。反过来,食草动物的影响也受到捕食者的影响,捕食者在给定的体型范围内对猎物物种施加自上而下的压力。在这里,我们探讨了陆生大型食草动物和食肉动物群体的功能组成如何在三种哺乳动物分布情景之间变化:现在-自然、当前和现存原生营养(ENT)重新野生化。考虑到受自上而下的力量影响较弱的食草物种的影响,我们量化了关键大型食草动物群体对甲烷排放、木质植被扩张、火灾动态、大种子散布以及氮磷运输潜力的相对影响。我们发现,在我们的三种情景下,受弱自上而下调节的食草动物的数量存在强烈的区域差异,这对它们将如何影响气候变化相关过程具有重要意义。在非反刍动物、巨型食草动物的现代自然情景下,食草动物是世界上许多地区特别重要的群体。巨型食草动物的灭绝和范围缩小以及家畜的到来意味着大型、反刍、食草动物变得更加占主导地位。ENT 重新野生化可以使热带非洲和印度-马来亚地区恢复到现在-自然的基准,但会导致其他地区最大食草动物的自上而下的压力成为常态。ENT 重新野生化将减少甲烷排放,但不能最大限度地发挥自然气候解决方案的潜力。本文是主题为“气候变化与生态系统:威胁、机遇与解决方案”的一部分。