Environmental Change Institute, School of Geography and the Environment, University of Oxford, Oxford OX1 3QY, UK.
Department of Botany and Plant Sciences, University of California, Riverside, CA 92521, USA.
Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 2020 Mar 16;375(1794):20190104. doi: 10.1098/rstb.2019.0104. Epub 2020 Jan 27.
The rapid anthropogenic climate change that is being experienced in the early twenty-first century is intimately entwined with the health and functioning of the biosphere. Climate change is impacting ecosystems through changes in mean conditions and in climate variability, coupled with other associated changes such as increased ocean acidification and atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations. It also interacts with other pressures on ecosystems, including degradation, defaunation and fragmentation. There is a need to understand the ecological dynamics of these climate impacts, to identify hotspots of vulnerability and resilience and to identify management interventions that may assist biosphere resilience to climate change. At the same time, ecosystems can also assist in the mitigation of, and adaptation to, climate change. The mechanisms, potential and limits of such nature-based solutions to climate change need to be explored and quantified. This paper introduces a thematic issue dedicated to the interaction between climate change and the biosphere. It explores novel perspectives on how ecosystems respond to climate change, how ecosystem resilience can be enhanced and how ecosystems can assist in addressing the challenge of a changing climate. It draws on a Royal Society-National Academy of Sciences Forum held in Washington DC in November 2018, where these themes and issues were discussed. We conclude by identifying some priorities for academic research and practical implementation, in order to maximize the potential for maintaining a diverse, resilient and well-functioning biosphere under the challenging conditions of the twenty-first century. This article is part of the theme issue 'Climate change and ecosystems: threats, opportunities and solutions'.
二十一世纪初正在经历的快速人为气候变化与生物圈的健康和功能息息相关。气候变化通过均值条件和气候变异性的变化影响生态系统,同时还伴随着其他相关变化,如海洋酸化和大气二氧化碳浓度的增加。它还与生态系统面临的其他压力相互作用,包括退化、生物多样性减少和破碎化。有必要了解这些气候影响的生态动力学,确定脆弱性和恢复力的热点,并确定可能有助于生物圈适应气候变化的管理干预措施。与此同时,生态系统也可以协助减缓气候变化和适应气候变化。需要探索和量化这种基于自然的气候变化解决方案的机制、潜力和限制。本文介绍了一个专门讨论气候变化和生物圈相互作用的主题问题。它探讨了生态系统如何应对气候变化、如何增强生态系统恢复力以及生态系统如何协助应对气候变化挑战的新观点。它借鉴了 2018 年 11 月在华盛顿特区举行的英国皇家学会-美国国家科学院论坛上的讨论内容。我们最后确定了一些学术研究和实际实施的优先事项,以便在二十一世纪充满挑战的条件下,最大程度地维持多样化、有弹性和良好运作的生物圈。本文是主题问题“气候变化与生态系统:威胁、机遇和解决方案”的一部分。