Department of Neurosciences, University of California San Diego, 220 Dickinson Street, Mail Code 8231, San Diego, CA, 92103, USA.
University of California San Diego Health, 220 Dickinson Street, Mail Code 8231, San Diego, CA, 92103, USA.
BMC Neurol. 2020 Jan 31;20(1):42. doi: 10.1186/s12883-020-1627-5.
While the burden of neurologic illness in developing countries is increasing, less is known about mortality among patients admitted to sub-Saharan African hospitals with neurologic disease. We sought to characterize the rate and patient-level predictors of in-hospital mortality in a Ugandan Neurology ward.cc.
Data was prospectively collected on 335 patients admitted to the Neurology ward of Mulago Hospital, Kampala, Uganda. Kaplan-Meier survival curves and multivariate COX proportional hazard modeling were used to assess survival.
Within our sample (n = 307), 35.8% received no diagnosis at time of hospital admission. Stroke (27.3%), head trauma (19.6%), and malaria (16.0%) were the most common diagnoses. Among the 56 (18.5%) patients who died during the index hospitalization, the most common diagnosis at admission and at death was stroke. Adjusted regression analysis showed that patients without a diagnosis at time of death (HR = 7.01 [2.42-20.35], p < .001) and those with diagnoses of infections (HR = 5.21 [2.16-12.58], p = <.001), stroke (HR = 2.69 [1.20-6.04], p = .017), or head trauma (HR = 3.39, [1.27-9.07], p = 0.15) had worse survival.
In-hospital mortality affected nearly 20% of the cohort, with worse survival among those without a diagnosis and with infections, stroke, head trauma. Future work should identify reasons for increased mortality among these high-risk groups and implement targeted interventions.
尽管发展中国家的神经疾病负担正在增加,但人们对撒哈拉以南非洲医院神经内科疾病患者的死亡率知之甚少。我们旨在描述乌干达一家神经科病房住院患者的院内死亡率及其患者水平预测因素。
前瞻性收集了 335 名入住乌干达坎帕拉穆拉戈医院神经内科病房的患者数据。采用 Kaplan-Meier 生存曲线和多变量 COX 比例风险模型评估生存情况。
在我们的样本中(n=307),35.8%的患者在入院时未得到明确诊断。卒中(27.3%)、头部创伤(19.6%)和疟疾(16.0%)是最常见的诊断。在 56 名(18.5%)在指数住院期间死亡的患者中,入院时和死亡时最常见的诊断是卒中。调整后的回归分析显示,死亡时未明确诊断的患者(HR=7.01 [2.42-20.35],p<.001)和患有感染(HR=5.21 [2.16-12.58],p<.001)、卒中(HR=2.69 [1.20-6.04],p=.017)或头部创伤(HR=3.39,[1.27-9.07],p=.15)的患者生存情况更差。
近 20%的患者住院期间死亡,未明确诊断以及患有感染、卒中、头部创伤的患者生存率更差。未来的研究应确定这些高风险人群死亡率增加的原因,并实施有针对性的干预措施。