Program in Physical Therapy and Department of Medicine, Washington University School of Medicine, St Louis, MO; Division of Public Health Sciences, Department of Surgery, Washington University School of Medicine, St Louis, MO.
Department of Cancer Epidemiology and Prevention Research, CancerControl Alberta, Alberta Health Services, Calgary, AB, Canada; Departments of Oncology and Community Health Sciences, Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, AB, Canada.
Am J Med. 2020 Aug;133(8):961-968.e3. doi: 10.1016/j.amjmed.2019.12.041. Epub 2020 Jan 30.
Increased mortality associated with low cardiorespiratory fitness has shown to take effect during late adulthood in previous generations. A recent rise in early death was observed in the United States. We investigated the impact of low cardiorespiratory fitness during young and middle adulthood on premature death in healthy adults from recent generations.
A prospective cohort study of a nationally representative sample of US Baby Boomers and Generation Xers (born 1945-1980). Between 1999 and 2004, 3242 adults ages 20 to 49 years (weighted N = 59,888,450; mean age, 33.8 ± 0.2 years) underwent submaximal treadmill exercise test in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey study. Weighted Cox proportional hazards regression were used to evaluate the association of cardiorespiratory fitness with premature death at 65 years or younger.
During a mean follow-up of 13.8 years, 104 deaths (weighted deaths N =1,326,808) occurred. Low cardiorespiratory fitness was associated with an increased risk of premature death as a result of all-cause (hazard ratio [HR], low vs high: 2.26; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.10 to 4.64, P for trend = 0.036) and cancer mortality (HR low vs moderate/high: 6.53; 95% CI, 2.38 to 17.9). Further, this association was stronger in adults ages 35 to 49 years at baseline (HR, 4.17 [95% CI, 1.19 to 9.11]).
We observed an inverse association between cardiorespiratory fitness during middle adulthood and premature death, which was not detected in preceding generations. These findings suggested that low cardiorespiratory fitness might be emerging as a new risk factor for early death among US Baby Boomers and Generation Xers.
以往几代人的研究表明,与低心肺适能相关的死亡率增加会在晚年显现出来。最近,美国观察到早逝人数的上升。我们研究了在最近几代健康成年人中,年轻时和中年时心肺适能较低对早逝的影响。
这是一项对美国婴儿潮一代和 X 世代(1945-1980 年出生)的全国代表性样本进行的前瞻性队列研究。在 1999 年至 2004 年期间,3242 名 20 至 49 岁的成年人(加权 N=59888450 人;平均年龄 33.8±0.2 岁)在国家健康和营养检查调查研究中进行了次最大量跑步机运动试验。使用加权 Cox 比例风险回归来评估心肺适能与 65 岁以下早逝的关联。
在平均 13.8 年的随访期间,有 104 人死亡(加权死亡人数 N=1326808 人)。低心肺适能与全因死亡率(低 vs 高:2.26;95%置信区间[CI],1.10 至 4.64,P 趋势=0.036)和癌症死亡率(低 vs 中/高:6.53;95%CI,2.38 至 17.9)的早逝风险增加有关。此外,这种关联在基线时年龄为 35 至 49 岁的成年人中更强(HR,4.17[95%CI,1.19 至 9.11])。
我们观察到中年时期心肺适能与早逝之间呈负相关,而在之前几代人中未发现这种关联。这些发现表明,低心肺适能可能成为美国婴儿潮一代和 X 世代人群早逝的一个新的危险因素。