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深度学习预测结直肠癌结局:一项探索性和验证性研究。

Deep learning for prediction of colorectal cancer outcome: a discovery and validation study.

机构信息

Institute for Cancer Genetics and Informatics, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo, Norway; Department of Informatics, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway.

Institute for Cancer Genetics and Informatics, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo, Norway.

出版信息

Lancet. 2020 Feb 1;395(10221):350-360. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(19)32998-8.


DOI:10.1016/S0140-6736(19)32998-8
PMID:32007170
Abstract

BACKGROUND: Improved markers of prognosis are needed to stratify patients with early-stage colorectal cancer to refine selection of adjuvant therapy. The aim of the present study was to develop a biomarker of patient outcome after primary colorectal cancer resection by directly analysing scanned conventional haematoxylin and eosin stained sections using deep learning. METHODS: More than 12 000 000 image tiles from patients with a distinctly good or poor disease outcome from four cohorts were used to train a total of ten convolutional neural networks, purpose-built for classifying supersized heterogeneous images. A prognostic biomarker integrating the ten networks was determined using patients with a non-distinct outcome. The marker was tested on 920 patients with slides prepared in the UK, and then independently validated according to a predefined protocol in 1122 patients treated with single-agent capecitabine using slides prepared in Norway. All cohorts included only patients with resectable tumours, and a formalin-fixed, paraffin-embedded tumour tissue block available for analysis. The primary outcome was cancer-specific survival. FINDINGS: 828 patients from four cohorts had a distinct outcome and were used as a training cohort to obtain clear ground truth. 1645 patients had a non-distinct outcome and were used for tuning. The biomarker provided a hazard ratio for poor versus good prognosis of 3·84 (95% CI 2·72-5·43; p<0·0001) in the primary analysis of the validation cohort, and 3·04 (2·07-4·47; p<0·0001) after adjusting for established prognostic markers significant in univariable analyses of the same cohort, which were pN stage, pT stage, lymphatic invasion, and venous vascular invasion. INTERPRETATION: A clinically useful prognostic marker was developed using deep learning allied to digital scanning of conventional haematoxylin and eosin stained tumour tissue sections. The assay has been extensively evaluated in large, independent patient populations, correlates with and outperforms established molecular and morphological prognostic markers, and gives consistent results across tumour and nodal stage. The biomarker stratified stage II and III patients into sufficiently distinct prognostic groups that potentially could be used to guide selection of adjuvant treatment by avoiding therapy in very low risk groups and identifying patients who would benefit from more intensive treatment regimes. FUNDING: The Research Council of Norway.

摘要

背景:需要改善预后标志物来对早期结直肠癌患者进行分层,以细化辅助治疗的选择。本研究的目的是通过直接分析深度学习扫描的常规苏木精和伊红染色切片,来开发一种患者原发性结直肠癌切除后结果的生物标志物。

方法:来自四个队列的预后明显良好或不良的超过 1200 万张图像块被用于训练总共十个卷积神经网络,这些网络专门用于对超大异质图像进行分类。使用预后不明确的患者来确定整合十个网络的预后生物标志物。该标志物在英国准备的 920 名患者的幻灯片上进行了测试,然后根据既定方案在挪威用单药卡培他滨治疗的 1122 名患者的幻灯片上进行了独立验证。所有队列均仅纳入可切除肿瘤的患者,且有可用于分析的福尔马林固定、石蜡包埋肿瘤组织块。主要结局是癌症特异性生存。

结果:四个队列中的 828 名患者具有明显的结局,被用作训练队列以获得明确的真实情况。1645 名患者的结局不明确,用于调整。在验证队列的主要分析中,该生物标志物为不良预后与良好预后的风险比为 3.84(95%CI 2.72-5.43;p<0.0001),在调整同一队列中单变量分析中具有统计学意义的既定预后标志物后,为 3.04(2.07-4.47;p<0.0001),这些标志物包括 pN 分期、pT 分期、淋巴血管侵犯和静脉血管侵犯。

解释:使用深度学习联合数字扫描常规苏木精和伊红染色肿瘤组织切片开发了一种临床有用的预后标志物。该检测方法已在大型独立患者人群中进行了广泛评估,与既定的分子和形态学预后标志物相关,并优于这些标志物,且在肿瘤和淋巴结分期方面均得出一致的结果。该生物标志物将 II 期和 III 期患者分层为足够不同的预后组,这可能有助于通过避免对低危组进行治疗并识别出可能受益于更强化治疗方案的患者来指导辅助治疗的选择。

资助:挪威研究理事会。

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