Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of West Florida, Pensacola, USA.
Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of West Florida, Pensacola, USA.
Sci Total Environ. 2020 Apr 15;713:136688. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.136688. Epub 2020 Jan 15.
This is a national scale study of spatial oral and pharynx cancer mortality and incidence clusters in the contiguous U.S.A. Spatial and space-time analyses of incidence and mortality rates of oral and pharynx cancers in the contiguous U.S.A. were done at the county resolution, using mortality data for the years 2000-2014 and incidence data for 2001-2015. The disease surveillance software SaTScan™ is used to identify significant cancer clusters that are non-random. In addition to a cluster analysis, regression analysis was used to adjust cancer incidence and mortality for several covariates or risk factors. This is the first study of the contiguous U.S.A. for oral and pharynx cancer in which mortality and incidence rates are studied together. The geographic clustering for mortality is somewhat different from the clustering for incidence. There exist several significant clusters in the contiguous U.S.A., both for oral and pharynx cancer incidence and for mortality. Some of the significant clusters persisted even after adjusting for several key risk factors. These clusters areas suggest a need for further investigation to identify some local concerns or needs to further address such cancer types in those specific sites. We identified statistically significant spatial and space-time clusters of oral and pharynx cancer for mortality and also for incidence in the contiguous US at the county resolution. The most important risk factors for oral cancer incidence are diabetes, alcohol drinking, and obesity, while the top risk factors for mortality are race, cervical cancer, diabetes, and alcohol drinking.
这是一项针对美国连续地区口腔和咽癌死亡率和发病率聚集的全国性研究。在县一级分辨率上,对美国连续地区口腔和咽癌的发病率和死亡率进行了空间和时空分析,使用了 2000-2014 年的死亡率数据和 2001-2015 年的发病率数据。疾病监测软件 SaTScan™ 用于识别非随机的显著癌症聚集。除了聚类分析外,回归分析还用于调整几种协变量或风险因素的癌症发病率和死亡率。这是第一项对美国连续地区口腔和咽癌死亡率和发病率进行联合研究的研究。死亡率的地理聚集与发病率的聚集有些不同。在美国连续地区存在几个显著的聚集区,无论是口腔和咽癌的发病率还是死亡率。一些显著的聚集区甚至在调整了几个关键风险因素后仍然存在。这些聚集区表明需要进一步调查,以确定一些当地的关注问题或需要在这些特定地点进一步解决这些癌症类型。我们在美国连续地区以县分辨率确定了口腔和咽癌死亡率和发病率的统计学显著的空间和时空聚集。口腔癌发病率的最重要风险因素是糖尿病、饮酒和肥胖,而死亡率的主要风险因素是种族、宫颈癌、糖尿病和饮酒。