Wageningen University & Research, Biometris, the Netherlands.
Wageningen University & Research, Biometris, the Netherlands.
Food Chem Toxicol. 2020 Apr;138:111185. doi: 10.1016/j.fct.2020.111185. Epub 2020 Feb 11.
A model and data toolbox is presented to assess risks from combined exposure to multiple chemicals using probabilistic methods. The Monte Carlo Risk Assessment (MCRA) toolbox, also known as the EuroMix toolbox, has more than 40 modules addressing all areas of risk assessment, and includes a data repository with data collected in the EuroMix project. This paper gives an introduction to the toolbox and illustrates its use with examples from the EuroMix project. The toolbox can be used for hazard identification, hazard characterisation, exposure assessment and risk characterisation. Examples for hazard identification are selection of substances relevant for a specific adverse outcome based on adverse outcome pathways and QSAR models. Examples for hazard characterisation are calculation of benchmark doses and relative potency factors with uncertainty from dose response data, and use of kinetic models to perform in vitro to in vivo extrapolation. Examples for exposure assessment are assessing cumulative exposure at external or internal level, where the latter option is needed when dietary and non-dietary routes have to be aggregated. Finally, risk characterisation is illustrated by calculation and display of the margin of exposure for single substances and for the cumulation, including uncertainties derived from exposure and hazard characterisation estimates.
本文提出了一个使用概率方法评估多种化学物质联合暴露风险的模型和数据工具箱。这个名为“Monte Carlo Risk Assessment(MCRA)工具箱”的工具,也被称为“EuroMix 工具箱”,拥有 40 多个模块,涵盖了风险评估的所有领域,其中包括一个包含 EuroMix 项目中收集的数据的数据存储库。本文介绍了该工具包,并通过 EuroMix 项目中的示例说明了其使用方法。该工具包可用于危害识别、危害特征描述、暴露评估和风险特征描述。危害识别的示例包括根据不良结局途径和定量构效关系模型选择与特定不良结局相关的物质。危害特征描述的示例包括使用不确定性的剂量反应数据计算基准剂量和相对效力因子,以及使用动力学模型进行体外到体内的外推。暴露评估的示例包括评估外部或内部水平的累积暴露,当需要综合饮食和非饮食途径时,需要选择后者。最后,通过计算和显示单一物质和累积物质的暴露量与危害量之比,并考虑暴露和危害特征描述估计的不确定性,说明了风险特征描述。