Institute of Allergy and Immunology, School of Medicine, Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, China.
Institute of Medical Physics, University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia.
Infection. 2020 Apr;48(2):155-163. doi: 10.1007/s15010-020-01401-y. Epub 2020 Feb 18.
There is a current worldwide outbreak of a new type of coronavirus (2019-nCoV), which originated from Wuhan in China and has now spread to 17 other countries. Governments are under increased pressure to stop the outbreak spiraling into a global health emergency. At this stage, preparedness, transparency, and sharing of information are crucial to risk assessments and beginning outbreak control activities. This information should include reports from outbreak sites and from laboratories supporting the investigation. This paper aggregates and consolidates the virology, epidemiology, clinical management strategies from both English and Chinese literature, official news channels, and other official government documents. In addition, by fitting the number of infections with a single-term exponential model, we report that the infection is spreading at an exponential rate, with a doubling period of 1.8 days.
目前，一种新型冠状病毒（2019-nCoV）正在全球范围内爆发，该病毒源自中国武汉，现已传播到 17 个其他国家。各国政府面临着越来越大的压力，需要阻止疫情蔓延成为全球卫生紧急事件。在现阶段，准备工作、透明度和信息共享对于风险评估和开展疫情控制活动至关重要。这些信息应包括来自疫情发生地和支持调查的实验室的报告。本文汇总和整合了来自英文和中文文献、官方新闻渠道和其他官方政府文件的病毒学、流行病学和临床管理策略。此外，通过将感染人数拟合为单期指数模型，我们报告感染正在以指数级速度传播，倍增期为 1.8 天。
