National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc., New York, New York.
J Stud Alcohol Drugs Suppl. 2020 Mar(19):106-112. doi: 10.15288/jsads.2020.s19.106.
This article provides a guide for the behavioral scientist to understand and judge econometric studies of alcohol advertising.
The requirements for causal evidence in an econometric study include an empirical scenario in which alcohol advertising is not affected by alcohol consumption and in which both consumption and advertising are not affected by a common third variable. The articles included in this review were a sampling of older studies to illustrate the problems with these studies and newer studies, not covered by existing reviews, which try to directly address causality.
The results from many prior studies are suspect by current econometric standards. However, a few newer econometric studies address causality and find a small positive effect of alcohol advertising on consumption.
Many prior studies and some newer studies of alcohol advertising in the econometric literature have not addressed causality, and the results from these studies should be considered as descriptive only.
本文为行为科学家提供了一个指南,以了解和判断酒精广告的计量经济学研究。
计量经济学研究中因果证据的要求包括一个经验场景,即酒精广告不受酒精消费的影响,并且消费和广告都不受共同的第三个变量的影响。本综述中包含的文章是对旧研究的抽样,以说明这些研究以及现有的综述未涵盖的试图直接解决因果关系的新研究存在的问题。
根据当前的计量经济学标准,许多先前研究的结果值得怀疑。然而,一些新的计量经济学研究解决了因果关系问题,并发现酒精广告对消费有很小的正向影响。
计量经济学文献中许多关于酒精广告的先前研究和一些新研究都没有解决因果关系问题,这些研究的结果应仅被视为描述性的。