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系统评价与荟萃分析:低水平饮酒与肝癌风险。

Systematic Review with Meta-Analysis: Low-Level Alcohol Consumption and the Risk of Liver Cancer.

机构信息

Health Screening and Promotion Center, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.

Department of Internal Medicine, Gachon University Gil Medical Center, Gachon University College of Medicine, Incheon, Korea.

出版信息

Gut Liver. 2020 Nov 15;14(6):792-807. doi: 10.5009/gnl19163.

Abstract

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Multiple meta-analyses and observational studies have reported that alcohol is a risk factor for liver cancer. However, whether there is a safe level of alcohol consumption remains unclear. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of the correlation between low-level alcohol consumption and the risk of liver cancer.

METHODS

Nested case-control studies and cohort studies involving the general population published prior to July 2019 were searched. In total, 28 publications (31 cohorts) with 4,899 incident cases and 10,859 liver cancer-related deaths were included. The pooled odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated.

RESULTS

Compared with those with low levels of alcohol consumption, moderate and heavy drinkers (≥1 drink/day for females and ≥2 drinks/day for males) had pooled ORs of 1.418 (95% CI, 1.192 to 1.687; p<0.001) for liver cancer incidence and 1.167 (95% CI, 1.056 to 1.290; p=0.003) for liver cancer mortality. The pooled OR for liver disease-related mortality for those with more than low levels of alcohol consumption was 3.220 (95% CI, 2.116 to 4.898; p<0.001) and that for all-cause mortality was 1.166 (95% CI, 1.065 to 1.278; p=0.001). The sensitivity analysis showed that none of the studies had a strong effect on the pooled OR. The Egger test, Begg rank correlation test, and the funnel plot showed no overt indication of publication bias.

CONCLUSIONS

Continuous consumption of more than a low-level of alcohol (≥1 drink/day for females and ≥2 drinks/ day for males) is related to a higher risk of liver cancer.

摘要

背景/目的:多项荟萃分析和观察性研究报告称,酒精是肝癌的危险因素。然而,饮酒的安全水平是否存在仍不清楚。我们对低水平饮酒与肝癌风险之间的相关性进行了系统评价和荟萃分析。

方法

检索了截至 2019 年 7 月之前发表的涉及普通人群的巢式病例对照研究和队列研究。共纳入 28 项研究(31 个队列),包含 4899 例肝癌新发病例和 10859 例肝癌相关死亡病例。计算了合并的比值比(ORs)及其 95%置信区间(CIs)。

结果

与低水平饮酒者相比,中重度饮酒者(女性≥1 份/天,男性≥2 份/天)肝癌发病的合并 OR 为 1.418(95%CI,1.192 至 1.687;p<0.001),肝癌死亡的合并 OR 为 1.167(95%CI,1.056 至 1.290;p=0.003)。对于因饮酒导致的肝病相关死亡率,高水平饮酒者的合并 OR 为 3.220(95%CI,2.116 至 4.898;p<0.001),对于全因死亡率,合并 OR 为 1.166(95%CI,1.065 至 1.278;p=0.001)。敏感性分析显示,没有任何一项研究对合并 OR 有显著影响。Egger 检验、Begg 秩相关检验和漏斗图均未显示明显的发表偏倚迹象。

结论

持续饮用超过低水平(女性≥1 份/天,男性≥2 份/天)的酒精与肝癌风险增加相关。

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