Department of Infectious Diseases and Hepatology, Medical University of Silesia, 40-055 Katowice, Poland.
Department of Labour Market Research and Forecasting, University of Economics, 40-287 Katowice, Poland.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2020 Mar 6;17(5):1727. doi: 10.3390/ijerph17051727.
: The aim of this study was to assess the diagnostic performance of new morphology-related indices and Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) scores during hospitalization in predicting the onset of bacterial infection in patients with liver cirrhosis. : A total of 171 patients (56.9% males; median age 59 years; total number of hospitalizations 209) with liver cirrhosis were included in this observational study. The diagnosis of cirrhosis was made on the basis of clinical, biochemical, ultrasonic, histological, and endoscopic findings. The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR), modified aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI), aspartate aminotransferase-to-alanine aminotransferase ratio (AAR), Fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), neutrophil-to-monocyte ratio (NMR), and CTP and MELD scores were calculated for the cases of patients with cirrhosis. Bacterial infection was diagnosed in 60 of the 209 (28.7%) hospitalizations of patients with cirrhosis. The most common infections were urinary tract infection (UTI), followed by pneumonia and sepsis. The more severe the liver failure, the greater the bacterial infection prevalence and mortality. Patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis were infected more often than subjects with compensated cirrhosis (50.0% vs. 12.9%, = 0.003). The calculated MELD score, CTP, NLR, LMR, AAR, monocyte count, and C-reactive protein (CRP) concentration were also related to the bacterial infection prevalence, and mortality areas under the curve (AUC) were 0.629, 0.687, 0.606, 0.715, 0.610, 0.648, and 0.685, respectively. The combined model with two variables (LMR and CTP) had the best AUC of 0.757. The most common bacteria isolated from patients with UTI were , , and . Gram-negative bacteria were also responsible for spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP), and together with gram-positive and , these microorganisms were isolated from blood cultures of patients with sepsis. Significant differences were found between CTP classification, MELD score, NLR, LMR, AAR, CRP, and PLR in patients with cirrhosis with, or without, bacterial infection. Bacterial infection prevalence is relatively high in patients with liver cirrhosis. Although all analyzed scores, including the LMR, NLR, aspartate aminotransferase (AST)/alanine aminotransferase (ALT), CRP, CTP, and MELD, allowed the prediction of bacterial occurrence, the LMR had the highest clinical utility, according to the area under the curve (AUC) and odds ratio (OR).
本研究旨在评估新的形态学相关指标和 Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) 评分和终末期肝病模型 (MELD) 评分在住院期间预测肝硬化患者细菌感染发生的诊断性能。
本观察性研究共纳入 171 例(56.9%为男性;中位年龄 59 岁;总住院次数为 209 次)肝硬化患者。肝硬化的诊断基于临床、生化、超声、组织学和内镜检查结果。计算了中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值(NLR)、淋巴细胞与单核细胞比值(LMR)、改良天冬氨酸氨基转移酶与血小板比值指数(APRI)、天冬氨酸氨基转移酶与丙氨酸氨基转移酶比值(AAR)、纤维 4 指数(FIB-4)、血小板与淋巴细胞比值(PLR)、中性粒细胞与单核细胞比值(NMR)以及 CTP 和 MELD 评分。对肝硬化患者的病例进行了细菌感染诊断。在 209 次肝硬化患者住院中,有 60 次(28.7%)发生了细菌感染。最常见的感染是尿路感染(UTI),其次是肺炎和败血症。肝功能衰竭越严重,细菌感染的发生率和死亡率越高。失代偿性肝硬化患者比代偿性肝硬化患者更容易感染(50.0%比 12.9%, = 0.003)。计算的 MELD 评分、CTP、NLR、LMR、AAR、单核细胞计数和 C 反应蛋白(CRP)浓度也与细菌感染发生率和死亡率有关,曲线下面积(AUC)分别为 0.629、0.687、0.606、0.715、0.610、0.648 和 0.685。两个变量(LMR 和 CTP)联合模型的 AUC 最佳,为 0.757。从 UTI 患者中分离出的最常见细菌是 、 、 和 。革兰氏阴性菌也导致自发性细菌性腹膜炎(SBP),与革兰氏阳性菌 和 一起,这些微生物从败血症患者的血培养中分离出来。在有或没有细菌感染的肝硬化患者中,CTP 分类、MELD 评分、NLR、LMR、AAR、CRP 和 PLR 之间存在显著差异。肝硬化患者的细菌感染发生率相对较高。虽然所有分析的评分,包括 NLR、LMR、天冬氨酸氨基转移酶(AST)/丙氨酸氨基转移酶(ALT)、CRP、CTP 和 MELD,都可以预测细菌的发生,但根据曲线下面积(AUC)和比值比(OR),LMR 的临床实用性最高。