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微塑料颗粒对捕食者和猎物种群动态的影响:Lotka-Volterra 模型的启示。

The Impact of Microplastic Particles on Population Dynamics of Predator and Prey: Implication of the Lotka-Volterra Model.

机构信息

Department of Mathematical Sciences, Xi'an Jiaotong-Liverpool University, Suzhou, China.

Department of Landscape Architecture, Gold Mantis School of Architecture, Soochow University, Suzhou, China.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2020 Mar 11;10(1):4500. doi: 10.1038/s41598-020-61414-3.

Abstract

Microplastic particles are widely distributed in a variety of ecosystems and can be transferred to predators along a food chain after being ingested by prey. However, how microplastic particles affect prey and predator populations is not fully understood. In this study, using the Lotka-Volterra model, we theoretically investigated predator-prey population dynamics in terms of toxicological response intensity (strength to population growth rate) to microplastic particles, and examined the negative effects on prey feeding ability and predator performance due to microplastic particles. Results of numerical simulations indicate the critical properties of the predator-prey system in response to microplastic particles: (i) predators are more vulnerable than prey under exposure to microplastic particles; (ii) the effect of microplastic particles on prey and predator population growths can be negligible when toxicological response intensities of prey and predator are small; (iii) this system is prey dependent for predator functional response, whose stability highly relies on the density of prey; (iv) the reduced feeding capacity of prey and predator induced by microplastic particles does not significantly affect the population dynamics of the predator-prey system. Moreover, our analysis suggests that dynamic Lotka-Volterra models can play a vital role in predicting ecological impacts of microplastic particles on predator-prey population dynamics.

摘要

微塑料颗粒广泛分布于各种生态系统中,并可能在被猎物摄入后,沿着食物链转移到捕食者体内。然而,微塑料颗粒如何影响猎物和捕食者种群还不完全清楚。在这项研究中,我们使用洛特卡-沃尔泰拉模型,从毒物学响应强度(对种群增长率的抵抗力)的角度,理论上研究了捕食者-猎物种群动力学,检验了微塑料颗粒对猎物摄食能力和捕食者性能的负面影响。数值模拟结果表明了捕食者-猎物系统对微塑料颗粒的响应的关键特性:(i)暴露于微塑料颗粒时,捕食者比猎物更脆弱;(ii)当猎物和捕食者的毒物学响应强度较小时,微塑料颗粒对猎物和捕食者种群增长的影响可以忽略不计;(iii)这种系统对捕食者的功能反应依赖于猎物,其稳定性高度依赖于猎物的密度;(iv)微塑料颗粒引起的猎物和捕食者摄食能力的降低,对捕食者-猎物系统的种群动态影响不大。此外,我们的分析表明,动态洛特卡-沃尔泰拉模型可以在预测微塑料颗粒对捕食者-猎物种群动态的生态影响方面发挥重要作用。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d24d/7066248/df32cad88bb4/41598_2020_61414_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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