IEEE J Biomed Health Inform. 2020 Nov;24(11):3308-3314. doi: 10.1109/JBHI.2020.2980204. Epub 2020 Nov 4.
There has been increasing interest in modelling survival data using deep learning methods in medical research. Current approaches have focused on designing special cost functions to handle censored survival data. We propose a very different method with two simple steps. In the first step, we transform each subject's survival time into a series of jackknife pseudo conditional survival probabilities and then use these pseudo probabilities as a quantitative response variable in the deep neural network model. By using the pseudo values, we reduce a complex survival analysis to a standard regression problem, which greatly simplifies the neural network construction. Our two-step approach is simple, yet very flexible in making risk predictions for survival data, which is very appealing from the practice point of view. The source code is freely available at http://github.com/lilizhaoUM/DNNSurv.
在医学研究中,使用深度学习方法对生存数据进行建模的兴趣日益浓厚。目前的方法主要集中在设计特殊的代价函数来处理删失的生存数据。我们提出了一种非常不同的方法,它有两个简单的步骤。在第一步中,我们将每个受试者的生存时间转换为一系列刀切伪条件生存概率,然后将这些伪概率用作深度神经网络模型中的定量响应变量。通过使用伪值,我们将复杂的生存分析简化为标准的回归问题,这极大地简化了神经网络的构建。我们的两步方法简单,但在对生存数据进行风险预测方面非常灵活,从实践的角度来看,这非常有吸引力。源代码可在 http://github.com/lilizhaoUM/DNNSurv 上免费获取。