Bellocchi Leonardo, Geroliminis Nikolas
Urban Transport Systems Laboratory (LUTS) École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne (EPFL), GC C2 390, Station 18, Lausanne, CH-1015, Switzerland.
Sci Rep. 2020 Mar 17;10(1):4876. doi: 10.1038/s41598-020-61486-1.
We study the dynamical process of congestion formation for large-scale urban networks by exploring a unique dataset of taxi movements in a megacity. We develop a dynamic model based on a reaction and a diffusion term that properly reproduces the cascade phenomena of traffic. The interaction of these two terms brings the values of the speeds on road network in self-organized patterns and it reveals an elegant physical law that reproduces the dynamics of congestion with very few parameters. The results presented show a promising match with an available real data set of link speeds estimated from more than 40 millions of GPS coordinates per day of about 20,000 taxis in Shenzhen, China.
我们通过探索一个大城市出租车行驶的独特数据集,研究大规模城市网络拥堵形成的动态过程。我们基于反应项和扩散项开发了一个动态模型,该模型能够恰当地再现交通的级联现象。这两个项的相互作用使道路网络上的速度值以自组织模式呈现,并且揭示了一条简洁的物理规律,该规律只需极少参数就能再现拥堵动态。所展示的结果与来自中国深圳约20,000辆出租车每天超过4000万个GPS坐标估计的链路速度可用真实数据集有很好的匹配。