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重新审视墨西哥自杀与失业之间的关系:来自线性和非线性协整的证据。

Revisiting the Relationship Between Suicide and Unemployment in Mexico: Evidence From Linear and Non-linear Co-integration.

机构信息

Department of Finance, Providence University, Taichung, Taiwan.

Department of Accounting, Chaoyang University of Technology, Taichung, Taiwan.

出版信息

Front Public Health. 2020 Mar 4;8:60. doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2020.00060. eCollection 2020.

Abstract

This study attempts to investigate if suicide is interlinked with unemployment in Mexico by making use of a recently developed Bootstrap ARDL bound test over the years of 1981-2016. To avoid omitting variable bias, we use economic growth rate as a control variable. The empirical results indicate that no co-integration among these three variables and there is a positively bidirectional causality between suicide rate and the unemployment rate. This study will showcase that the economic growth rate negatively affects unemployment rate and unidirectional Granger causality running from economic growth rate to the unemployment rate in Mexico. The findings presented in this study could provide with valuable information for society and health policy makers to formulate the policies on suicide prevention in Mexico.

摘要

本研究旨在利用最近开发的 Bootstrap ARDL 边界检验,调查墨西哥的自杀是否与失业有关,时间跨度为 1981 年至 2016 年。为了避免遗漏变量偏差,我们使用经济增长率作为控制变量。实证结果表明,这三个变量之间没有协整关系,自杀率和失业率之间存在正向双向因果关系。本研究将表明,经济增长率对失业率有负面影响,并且在墨西哥,经济增长率到失业率存在单向格兰杰因果关系。本研究的结果可以为社会和卫生政策制定者提供有价值的信息,以制定墨西哥的预防自杀政策。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3ed6/7064437/e424f8017d77/fpubh-08-00060-g0001.jpg

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