School of Economics, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan, 430000, China.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2020 May;27(15):18541-18556. doi: 10.1007/s11356-020-08399-8. Epub 2020 Mar 20.
In recent years, the global emphasis on environmental protection issues has gradually increased. The existing literature has been divided on whether environmental regulation promotes or inhibits industrial development. Can the innovation-driven strategy proposed by China achieve a win-win situation for both? This paper attempts to investigate the technology innovation of China's three major economic zones in dual environmental regulation effect on industrial structure upgrade. The research was conducted based on Intermediary Effect Model and employing the technique of Image Analysis, panel data of 30 Chinese provincial from in 2005 to 2017 were selected and analyzed. The results demonstrate that the direct effect of formal environmental regulations (ER) on industrial upgrading is an inverted "U" shape, and it is positively affecting industrial upgrading through technological innovation strategies. However, the mediating role of technological innovation under the informal environmental regulation (IER) is negative. The effect of the innovation-driven strategy has regional heterogeneity, and marketization is conducive to industrial upgrading, but increasing dependence on foreign trade is not conducive to industrial upgrading. The research above politically suggests that China should further strengthen formal and informal environmental regulations, the informal environmental regulation system should be improved, and feedback mechanisms such as laws should be established. Meanwhile, the government should carry out innovation-driven strategies based on local conditions, improve the innovation mechanism, and enhance the diffusion of technological innovation.
近年来,全球对环境保护问题的重视程度逐渐提高。现有文献对于环境规制是促进还是抑制产业发展存在分歧。中国提出的创新驱动战略能否实现双赢?本文试图探讨中国三大经济区在双重环境规制下对产业结构升级的技术创新作用。研究采用中介效应模型和图像分析技术,基于 2005-2017 年中国 30 个省份的面板数据进行分析。结果表明,正式环境规制(ER)对产业升级的直接效应呈倒“U”型,通过技术创新策略正向影响产业升级;而非正式环境规制(IER)下技术创新的中介作用为负。创新驱动战略的效果具有区域异质性,市场化有利于产业升级,但增加对外贸的依赖不利于产业升级。上述研究从政策上建议中国应进一步加强正式和非正式环境规制,完善非正式环境规制体系,建立法律等反馈机制。同时,政府应根据当地情况开展创新驱动战略,完善创新机制,增强技术创新的扩散。