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替诺福韦预防中国乙型肝炎母婴传播的成本效益分析。

Tenofovir prophylaxis for preventing mother-to-child hepatitis B virus transmission in China: A cost-effectiveness analysis.

机构信息

Nursing Faculty, School of Medicine, Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi'an, Shaanxi, China.

Department of Medical Statistics, Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region People's Hospital, Yinchuan, Ningxia, China.

出版信息

Int J Infect Dis. 2020 Jun;95:118-124. doi: 10.1016/j.ijid.2020.03.036. Epub 2020 Mar 20.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to evaluate whether tenofovir prophylaxis for mothers with high viral loads in late pregnancy is a cost-effective way to prevent mother-to-child hepatitis B virus (HBV) transmission in China.

METHODS

A decision tree Markov model was constructed for a cohort of infants born to HBV surface antigen-positive mothers in China, 2016. The expected cost and effectiveness were compared between the current active-passive immunoprophylaxis strategy and the tenofovir prophylaxis strategy, and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was calculated. One-way and multi-way probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed.

RESULTS

For 100,000 babies born to mothers positive for hepatitis B surface antigen, tenofovir prophylaxis strategy will prevent 2213 perinatal HBV infections and will gain 931 quality-adjusted life years when compared with the current active-passive immunoprophylaxis strategy. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was ¥59,973 ($9087) per quality-adjusted life years gained. This result was robust over a wide range of assumptions.

CONCLUSIONS

Tenofovir prophylaxis for mothers with high viral loads in late pregnancy was found to be more cost-effective than the current active-passive immunoprophylaxis alone. Embedding tenofovir prophylaxis for mothers with high virus loads into the present hepatitis B prevention strategies should be considered to further prevent mother-to-child hepatitis B transmission in China.

摘要

目的

本研究旨在评估妊娠晚期高病毒载量母亲应用替诺福韦预防能否更有效地预防中国乙型肝炎病毒(HBV)母婴传播。

方法

建立了一个中国乙型肝炎表面抗原阳性母亲所生婴儿队列的决策树马尔可夫模型。比较了当前主动-被动免疫预防策略与替诺福韦预防策略的预期成本和效果,并计算了增量成本效果比。进行了单因素和多因素概率敏感性分析。

结果

与当前主动-被动免疫预防策略相比,替诺福韦预防策略可预防 100000 名乙型肝炎表面抗原阳性母亲所生婴儿的 2213 例围产期 HBV 感染,并获得 931 个质量调整生命年。增量成本效果比为每获得 1 个质量调整生命年需花费 59973 元(9087 美元)。这一结果在广泛的假设条件下均具有稳健性。

结论

对于妊娠晚期高病毒载量的母亲,替诺福韦预防比目前单独的主动-被动免疫预防更具成本效益。中国应考虑将替诺福韦预防纳入现行乙型肝炎预防策略,以进一步预防母婴乙型肝炎传播。

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