Epi Interventions. 17 Bangholm Avenue, Edinburgh, EH5 3AS, UK.
GALVmed, Doherty Building, Pentlands Science Park, Bush Loan, Penicuik, Edinburgh, EH26 0PZ, UK.
Prev Vet Med. 2020 Apr;177:104975. doi: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2020.104975. Epub 2020 Mar 20.
A number of studies have demonstrated the clear beneficial impact that vaccinating against Newcastle disease (ND) can have on reducing the frequency and severity of ND outbreaks. Here we go one step further and analyse the additional benefits in terms of improved production that result from vaccination. Data were collected from a cross sectional survey in Uganda of 593 chicken-rearing smallholders (for the purpose of this study this was defined as a farm with fewer than 75 chickens). Consenting participants were administered a detailed questionnaire covering a range of aspects of chicken production and management. These data were subsequently analysed in a generalised linear model framework with negative binomial error structure and the total offtake over the previous 12 months (chicken sales + chicken consumption + chickens gifted) was included as the dependent variable. Different measures of flock size were tested as independent variables and the model was also offered the district of the flock, ND vaccine adoption, use of poultry housing, provision of supplementary feed and use of dewormers as potential independent variables. We also developed an analogous model for the offtake of eggs (sale and consumption). The total size of the flock (counting chickens of all ages) was the measure of flock size that had the strongest association with offtake and was a significant but weak effect with an incidence rate ratio (IRR) of 1.011 (95 % Confidence intervals (CIs) = 1.007-1.015). ND vaccine adoption had a strong significant positive effect on offtake with an IRR of 1.571 (95 % CIs = 1.363-1.808). Use of a poultry house also had a significant effect (IRR = 1.365, 95 % CIs = 1.193-1.560). In the model of egg production, the number of hens was the demographic determinant with the lowest Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) (IRR = 1.094, 95 % CIs = 1.056-1.136) and ND vaccine adoption had a strong positive effect on egg offtake (IRR = 1.801, 95 % CIs = 1.343-2.412). Vaccinating against ND has a clear beneficial impact on the productivity of the flock, and the livelihoods of smallholder farmers.
许多研究已经证明,接种新城疫(ND)疫苗可以显著减少 ND 爆发的频率和严重程度,从而带来明显的益处。在这里,我们更进一步分析了接种疫苗带来的生产效益的提高。该研究在乌干达对 593 名饲养小鸡的小农户(本研究中,小农户的定义为饲养少于 75 只鸡的农场)进行了横断面调查,收集数据。同意参与的小农户填写了一份详细的调查问卷,涵盖了养鸡生产和管理的各个方面。这些数据随后在广义线性模型框架中进行了分析,采用负二项式误差结构,将前 12 个月的总出栏量(鸡销售+鸡消费+赠送的鸡)作为因变量。我们还测试了不同的鸡群规模衡量指标作为自变量,并为该模型提供了鸡群所在地区、ND 疫苗接种、家禽饲养、补充饲料供应和使用驱虫剂等作为潜在的自变量。我们还为鸡蛋(销售和消费)的出栏量开发了一个类似的模型。鸡群的总规模(统计所有年龄段的鸡只数量)与出栏量的关联最强,是一个具有显著但较弱影响的因素,发病率比(IRR)为 1.011(95%置信区间(CI)为 1.007-1.015)。ND 疫苗接种对出栏量有很强的积极影响,IRR 为 1.571(95%CI=1.363-1.808)。使用家禽饲养场也有显著的效果(IRR=1.365,95%CI=1.193-1.560)。在鸡蛋生产模型中,母鸡数量是具有最低 Akaike 信息准则(AIC)的人口决定因素(IRR=1.094,95%CI=1.056-1.136),ND 疫苗接种对鸡蛋出栏量有很强的积极影响(IRR=1.801,95%CI=1.343-2.412)。接种 ND 疫苗对鸡群的生产力和小农户的生计有明显的积极影响。