Department of Population Health, QIMR Berghofer Medical Research Institute, Brisbane, Australia.
School of Public Health, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia.
Thyroid. 2020 Oct;30(10):1518-1527. doi: 10.1089/thy.2019.0654. Epub 2020 May 4.
Thyroid cancer incidence has increased in many parts of the world since the 1980s, as has the prevalence of obesity. Evidence suggests that people with greater body size have higher thyroid cancer risk. However, it is unclear whether this association is causal or is driven by over-diagnosis of indolent cancers, because overweight/obese people use health services more frequently than those of normal weight, thus conferring greater opportunity for incidental diagnosis. Assessing whether obesity is associated with higher-risk thyroid cancers might help clarify this issue. We recruited 1013 people diagnosed with thyroid cancer between 2013 and 2016 and 1057 population controls, frequency matched by sex and age group. We used logistic regression to assess the association between body mass index (BMI) and overall thyroid cancer risk as well as by tumor mutational status as a marker of potentially higher-risk cancer. Overall, obesity was associated with greater risk of thyroid cancer (odds ratio [OR] = 1.72; 95% confidence interval [CI 1.37-2.16] for obese vs. normal BMI). The association with obesity was significantly stronger for -mutation positive than -negative papillary thyroid cancers (PTCs; OR = 1.71 [CI 1.17-2.50] for positive vs. -negative cancers). The increased risks associated with overweight/obesity did not vary by histological subtypes or presence/absence of adverse tumor histologic features. Greater risk of -mutated PTCs among those with high BMI suggests that the association may not merely reflect greater health care service use and indicates an independent relationship between obesity and clinically important thyroid cancer.
自 20 世纪 80 年代以来,世界上许多地区的甲状腺癌发病率都有所增加,肥胖症的发病率也有所增加。有证据表明,体型较大的人患甲状腺癌的风险更高。然而,目前尚不清楚这种关联是因果关系,还是由惰性癌症的过度诊断所驱动,因为超重/肥胖的人比体重正常的人更频繁地使用医疗服务,因此更有可能偶然诊断出癌症。评估肥胖是否与更高风险的甲状腺癌相关,可能有助于澄清这一问题。
我们招募了 1013 名 2013 年至 2016 年间被诊断患有甲状腺癌的患者和 1057 名人群对照者,按照性别和年龄组进行频率匹配。我们使用逻辑回归来评估体重指数(BMI)与总体甲状腺癌风险之间的关联,以及作为潜在高风险癌症标志物的肿瘤突变状态。
总的来说,肥胖与甲状腺癌风险增加相关(肥胖与正常 BMI 相比,优势比[OR]为 1.72;95%置信区间[CI]为 1.37-2.16)。与肥胖相关的风险对于 -突变阳性比 -阴性甲状腺乳头状癌(PTC)明显更强(阳性比阴性癌症的 OR 为 1.71[CI 为 1.17-2.50])。超重/肥胖相关的风险增加与组织学亚型或不良肿瘤组织学特征的存在与否无关。
BMI 较高的人患 -突变 PTC 的风险增加表明,这种关联可能不仅仅反映了更高的医疗保健服务使用,而且表明肥胖与临床上重要的甲状腺癌之间存在独立关系。