Prussi M, Padella M, Conton M, Postma E D, Lonza L
European Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC), Ispra, Italy.
Natural & Bio Gas Vehicle Association (NGVA Europe), av. de Cortenbergh 172, 1000, Brussels, Belgium.
J Clean Prod. 2019 Jun 10;222:565-572. doi: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2019.02.271.
The upgrade to biomethane allows extending biogas applications to transport sectors, supporting EU goals toward carbon neutrality. Biomethane produced from biogas upgrading can today rely on a large number of plants, estimated by the European Biogas Association in over 17000 in 2016, for a total installed capacity of 9985 GW (EBA, 2017). After 2020, biogas and biomethane will count towards the 32% target of renewable energy share of the EU energy consumption, and towards a sub-target of minimum 14% of the energy consumed in the transport sector by 2030 (REDII). In this framework, the paper aims to define the current market penetration of biogas upgrading technologies. A database has been created for EU-28, to highlight the relative importance of each technology. Based on the database, a EU production potential is defined, along with the EU demand potential for transport, in order to verify the match between supply and demand. The analysis of the current state of play of the sector suggests that a large potential can be foreseen for near future; the expected increase in biomethane production is based also on the possibility to convert residual feedstocks, such as Municipal Solid Wastes. In this work a moderate technology penetration scenario has been set for EU-28, reaching a potential for biomethane of 18 billion m/year in 2030. A large share of this potential can be devoted to transport, with a relevant impact on the sector. LNG appears suitable for pushing the market uptake of biomethane in the transport sector. Among the potential uses of biomethane for transport, it is worth considering that the natural gas use in the maritime and internal waterways sectors is getting momentum. The current analysis aimed to highlight the potential of renewable energy-based alternatives to natural gas. Eventually, it is worth noticing that the real market deployment of this potential will be determined by the energy market conditions, and by the member states capability to stimulate the industry through a coherent set of supporting initiatives.
升级为生物甲烷可使沼气应用扩展至运输领域,有助于欧盟实现碳中和目标。如今,通过沼气升级生产的生物甲烷可依托大量工厂,据欧洲沼气协会估计,2016年工厂数量超过17000家,总装机容量达9985吉瓦(欧洲沼气协会,2017年)。2020年后,沼气和生物甲烷将计入欧盟能源消费中可再生能源占比32%的目标,以及到2030年运输部门能源消费中至少14%的子目标(《可再生能源指令II》)。在此框架下,本文旨在确定沼气升级技术当前的市场渗透率。已为欧盟28国创建了一个数据库,以突出每种技术的相对重要性。基于该数据库,确定了欧盟的生产潜力以及运输领域的欧盟需求潜力,以核实供需匹配情况。对该行业当前状况的分析表明,近期可预见有巨大潜力;生物甲烷产量的预期增长还基于能够转化诸如城市固体废弃物等剩余原料的可能性。在这项工作中,为欧盟28国设定了一个适度的技术渗透情景,到2030年生物甲烷潜力达180亿立方米/年。这一潜力的很大一部分可用于运输,对该领域有重大影响。液化天然气似乎适合推动生物甲烷在运输领域的市场应用。在生物甲烷用于运输的潜在用途中,值得注意的是,天然气在海运和内河航道部门的使用正日益增多。当前分析旨在突出基于可再生能源的天然气替代方案的潜力。最终,值得注意的是,这一潜力在实际市场中的部署将取决于能源市场状况,以及成员国通过一系列连贯的支持举措刺激该行业的能力。