Centre for Health Economics Research & Modelling Infectious Diseases (CHERMID), Vaccine and Infectious Disease Institute (VAXINFECTIO), University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium.
Interuniversity Institute for Biostatistics and statistical Bioinformatics, Hasselt University, Hasselt, Belgium.
Euro Surveill. 2020 Apr;25(13). doi: 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.13.2000323.
European healthcare systems face extreme pressure from coronavirus disease (COVID-19). We relate country-specific accumulated COVID-19 deaths (intensity approach) and active COVID-19 cases (magnitude approach) to measures of healthcare system capacity: hospital beds, healthcare workers and healthcare expenditure. Modelled by the intensity approach with a composite measure for healthcare capacity, the countries experiencing the highest pressure on 25 March 2020 - relative to Italy on 11 March - were Italy, Spain, the Netherlands and France (www.covid-hcpressure.org).
欧洲的医疗体系正面临着冠状病毒病（COVID-19）的巨大压力。我们将特定国家的累计 COVID-19 死亡人数（强度法）和 COVID-19 活跃病例数（数量法）与医疗体系容量的衡量指标联系起来：医院床位、医护人员和医疗支出。通过采用复合医疗能力衡量指标的强度法进行建模，在 2020 年 3 月 25 日（相对于 3 月 11 日的意大利），压力最大的国家是意大利、西班牙、荷兰和法国（www.covid-hcpressure.org）。
