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2020 年 3 月,欧洲各国面临冠状病毒病(COVID-19)病例呈指数级增长,医疗应对能力的指征。

Indications for healthcare surge capacity in European countries facing an exponential increase in coronavirus disease (COVID-19) cases, March 2020.

机构信息

Centre for Health Economics Research & Modelling Infectious Diseases (CHERMID), Vaccine and Infectious Disease Institute (VAXINFECTIO), University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium.

Interuniversity Institute for Biostatistics and statistical Bioinformatics, Hasselt University, Hasselt, Belgium.

出版信息

Euro Surveill. 2020 Apr;25(13). doi: 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.13.2000323.

Abstract

European healthcare systems face extreme pressure from coronavirus disease (COVID-19). We relate country-specific accumulated COVID-19 deaths (intensity approach) and active COVID-19 cases (magnitude approach) to measures of healthcare system capacity: hospital beds, healthcare workers and healthcare expenditure. Modelled by the intensity approach with a composite measure for healthcare capacity, the countries experiencing the highest pressure on 25 March 2020 - relative to Italy on 11 March - were Italy, Spain, the Netherlands and France (www.covid-hcpressure.org).

摘要

欧洲的医疗体系正面临着冠状病毒病(COVID-19)的巨大压力。我们将特定国家的累计 COVID-19 死亡人数(强度法)和 COVID-19 活跃病例数(数量法)与医疗体系容量的衡量指标联系起来:医院床位、医护人员和医疗支出。通过采用复合医疗能力衡量指标的强度法进行建模,在 2020 年 3 月 25 日(相对于 3 月 11 日的意大利),压力最大的国家是意大利、西班牙、荷兰和法国(www.covid-hcpressure.org)。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a4a3/7140594/b562ffe84540/2000323-f1.jpg

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