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评估世界卫生组织严重急性呼吸道感染(SARI)标准在三个呼吸季节中两岁以下中东儿童中的诊断准确性。

Evaluating the diagnostic accuracy of the WHO Severe Acute Respiratory Infection (SARI) criteria in Middle Eastern children under two years over three respiratory seasons.

机构信息

Medicine and Pediatric Residency Program, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, Minnesota, United States of America.

Vanderbilt Epidemiology PhD Program, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine, Vanderbilt University, Nashville, Tennessee, United States of America.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2020 Apr 30;15(4):e0232188. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0232188. eCollection 2020.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

The World Health Organization created the Severe Acute Respiratory Infection (SARI) criteria in 2011 to monitor influenza (flu)-related hospitalization. Many studies have since used the SARI case definition as inclusion criteria for surveillance studies. We sought to determine the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value of the SARI criteria for detecting ten different respiratory viruses in a Middle Eastern pediatric cohort.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The data for this study comes from a prospective acute respiratory surveillance study of hospitalized children <2 years in Amman, Jordan from March 16, 2010 to March 31, 2013. Participants were recruited if they had a fever and/or respiratory symptoms. Nasal and throat swabs were obtained and tested by real-time RT-PCR for eleven viruses. Subjects meeting SARI criteria were determined post-hoc. Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value of the SARI case definition for detecting ten different viruses were calculated and results were stratified by age.

RESULTS

Of the 3,175 patients enrolled, 3,164 were eligible for this study, with a median age of 3.5 months, 60.4% male, and 82% virus-positive (44% RSV and 3.8% flu). The sensitivity and specificity of the SARI criteria for detecting virus-positive patients were 44% and 77.9%, respectively. Sensitivity of SARI criteria for any virus was lowest in children <3 months at 22.4%. Removing fever as a criterion improved the sensitivity by 65.3% for detecting RSV in children <3 months; whereas when cough was removed, the sensitivity improved by 45.5% for detecting flu in same age group.

CONCLUSIONS

The SARI criteria have poor sensitivity for detecting RSV, flu, and other respiratory viruses-particularly in children <3 months. Researchers and policy makers should use caution if using the criteria to estimate burden of disease in children.

摘要

目的

世界卫生组织于 2011 年制定了严重急性呼吸道感染(SARI)标准,以监测与流感(flu)相关的住院情况。此后,许多研究都使用 SARI 病例定义作为监测研究的纳入标准。我们旨在确定 SARI 标准在检测中东儿科队列中十种不同呼吸道病毒时的敏感性、特异性、阳性预测值和阴性预测值。

材料和方法

本研究的数据来自于 2010 年 3 月 16 日至 2013 年 3 月 31 日期间在约旦安曼对住院的 2 岁以下儿童进行的一项前瞻性急性呼吸道监测研究。如果参与者有发热和/或呼吸道症状,则招募他们。通过实时 RT-PCR 对鼻和咽喉拭子进行了 11 种病毒的检测。事后确定符合 SARI 标准的受试者。计算了 SARI 病例定义检测十种不同病毒的敏感性、特异性、阳性预测值和阴性预测值,并按年龄分层结果。

结果

在纳入的 3175 名患者中,有 3164 名符合本研究条件,中位年龄为 3.5 个月,60.4%为男性,82%病毒阳性(44%为 RSV,3.8%为 flu)。SARI 标准检测病毒阳性患者的敏感性和特异性分别为 44%和 77.9%。SARI 标准对任何病毒的敏感性在 <3 个月的儿童中最低,为 22.4%。去除发热作为标准可将 <3 个月儿童中 RSV 的检测敏感性提高 65.3%;而当去除咳嗽时,同样年龄组中 flu 的检测敏感性提高 45.5%。

结论

SARI 标准对 RSV、flu 和其他呼吸道病毒的检测敏感性较差-尤其是在 <3 个月的儿童中。如果使用该标准来估计儿童疾病负担,研究人员和政策制定者应谨慎行事。

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