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当前治疗 COVID-19 的方法的疗效和安全性 - 从 SARS 和 MERS 疫情中吸取的教训:系统评价和荟萃分析。

Efficacy and safety of current therapeutic options for COVID-19 - lessons to be learnt from SARS and MERS epidemic: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

机构信息

Department of Pharmacy, Renji Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiaotong University, Shanghai, 200127, China; Department of Critical Care Medicine, Renji Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiaotong University, Shanghai, 200127, China.

Department of Pharmacy, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, Shanxi, China.

出版信息

Pharmacol Res. 2020 Jul;157:104872. doi: 10.1016/j.phrs.2020.104872. Epub 2020 Apr 30.

Abstract

The rapidly progressing of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has become a global concern. This meta-analysis aimed at evaluating the efficacy and safety of current option of therapies for severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS), Middle Eastern respiratory syndrome (MERS) besides COVID-19, in an attempt to identify promising therapy for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infected patients. We searched PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane Library, China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI), China Science and Technology Journal Database (VIP), and WANFANG DATA for randomized controlled trials (RCTs), prospective cohort, and retrospective cohort studies that evaluated therapies (hydroxychloroquine, lopinavir/ritonavir-based therapy, and ribavirin-based therapy, etc.) for SARS, MERS, and COVID-19. The primary outcomes were mortality, virological eradication and clinical improvement, and secondary outcomes were improvement of symptoms and chest radiography results, incidence of acute respiratory disease syndrome (ARDS), utilization of mechanical ventilation, and adverse events (AEs). Summary relative risks (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated using random-effects models, and the quality of evidence was appraised using GRADEpro. Eighteen articles (5 RCTs, 2 prospective cohort studies, and 11 retrospective cohort studies) involving 4,941 patients were included. Compared with control treatment, anti-coronary virus interventions significantly reduced mortality (RR 0.65, 95% CI 0.44-0.96; I = 81.3%), remarkably ameliorate clinical improvement (RR 1.52, 95% CI 1.05-2.19) and radiographical improvement (RR 1.62, 95% CI 1.11-2.36, I = 11.0 %), without manifesting clear effect on virological eradication, incidence of ARDS, intubation, and AEs. Subgroup analyses demonstrated that the combination of ribavirin and corticosteroids remarkably decreased mortality (RR 0.43, 95% CI 0.27-0.68). The lopinavir/ritonavir-based combination showed superior virological eradication and radiographical improvement with reduced rate of ARDS. Likewise, hydroxychloroquine improved radiographical result. For safety, ribavirin could induce more bradycardia, anemia and transaminitis. Meanwhile, hydroxychloroquine could increase AEs rate especially diarrhea. Overall, the quality of evidence on most outcomes were very low. In conclusion, although we could not draw a clear conclusion for the recommendation of potential therapies for COVID-19 considering the very low quality of evidence and wide heterogeneity of interventions and indications, our results may help clinicians to comprehensively understand the advantages and drawbacks of each anti-coronavirus agents on efficacy and safety profiles. Lopinavir/ritonavir combinations might observe better virological eradication capability than other anti-coronavirus agents. Conversely, ribavirin might cause more safety concerns especially bradycardia. Thus, large RCTs objectively assessing the efficacy of antiviral therapies for SARS-CoV-2 infections should be conducted with high priority.

摘要

新型冠状病毒病(COVID-19)疫情的迅速发展引起了全球关注。本荟萃分析旨在评估目前针对严重急性呼吸综合征(SARS)、中东呼吸综合征(MERS)和 COVID-19 的治疗选择的疗效和安全性,以期为严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒 2(SARS-CoV-2)感染患者找到有前途的治疗方法。我们检索了 PubMed、EMBASE、Cochrane 图书馆、中国知网(CNKI)、中国科技期刊数据库(VIP)和万方数据库,以获取评估 SARS、MERS 和 COVID-19 治疗方法(羟氯喹、洛匹那韦/利托那韦为基础的治疗、利巴韦林为基础的治疗等)的随机对照试验(RCT)、前瞻性队列研究和回顾性队列研究。主要结局指标为死亡率、病毒学清除率和临床改善,次要结局指标为症状和胸部影像学结果的改善、急性呼吸窘迫综合征(ARDS)发生率、机械通气的使用和不良事件(AE)。使用随机效应模型计算汇总相对风险(RR)和 95%置信区间(CI),并使用 GRADEpro 评估证据质量。纳入了 18 篇文章(5 项 RCT、2 项前瞻性队列研究和 11 项回顾性队列研究),共涉及 4941 名患者。与对照组相比,抗病毒干预显著降低了死亡率(RR 0.65,95%CI 0.44-0.96;I = 81.3%),显著改善了临床改善(RR 1.52,95%CI 1.05-2.19)和影像学改善(RR 1.62,95%CI 1.11-2.36,I = 11.0%),但对病毒学清除率、ARDS 发生率、插管和 AE 无明显影响。亚组分析表明,利巴韦林和皮质类固醇的联合使用显著降低了死亡率(RR 0.43,95%CI 0.27-0.68)。洛匹那韦/利托那韦联合治疗显示出更好的病毒学清除率和影像学改善率,ARDS 发生率降低。同样,羟氯喹可改善影像学结果。关于安全性,利巴韦林可能导致更多的心动过缓、贫血和转氨基酶升高。同时,羟氯喹可能会增加 AE 发生率,特别是腹泻。总的来说,由于大多数结局的证据质量非常低,我们无法得出关于 COVID-19 潜在治疗方法的明确结论。然而,我们的结果可能有助于临床医生全面了解每种抗病毒药物在疗效和安全性方面的优缺点。洛匹那韦/利托那韦联合治疗可能比其他抗病毒药物具有更好的病毒学清除能力。相反,利巴韦林可能会引起更多的安全问题,特别是心动过缓。因此,应高度优先进行客观评估 SARS-CoV-2 感染抗病毒治疗疗效的大型 RCT。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/966f/7192121/3f1d1c9d62de/ga1_lrg.jpg

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