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澳大利亚的心血管疾病和中风死亡率没有“圣诞节假期效应”。

No 'Christmas holiday effect' in Australia for cardiovascular and stroke mortality.

机构信息

Rural Clinical School, Faculty of Medicine, University of New South Wales, Wagga Wagga, NSW, 2650, Australia; Wagga Wagga Rural Clinical School, School of Medicine Sydney, University of Notre Dame Australia, PO Box 5050, Wagga Wagga NSW, 2650, Australia; Wagga Wagga Base Hospital, Murrumbidgee Local Health District, PO Box 5050, Wagga Wagga, NSW, 2650, Australia.

Rural Clinical School, Faculty of Medicine, University of New South Wales, Wagga Wagga, NSW, 2650, Australia; Wagga Wagga Rural Clinical School, School of Medicine Sydney, University of Notre Dame Australia, PO Box 5050, Wagga Wagga NSW, 2650, Australia; Wagga Wagga Base Hospital, Murrumbidgee Local Health District, PO Box 5050, Wagga Wagga, NSW, 2650, Australia.

出版信息

Public Health. 2020 May;182:190-192. doi: 10.1016/j.puhe.2020.03.004. Epub 2020 Apr 28.

DOI:10.1016/j.puhe.2020.03.004
PMID:32361029
Abstract

OBJECTIVES

Cardiovascular events and mortality have shown a higher incidence within the Christmas holiday period in previous studies and in the northern and southern hemisphere. Our study aimed to assess changes in cardiovascular and stroke mortality variation around the Christmas period in Australia.

STUDY DESIGN

The study design is a population-based case-control study.

METHODS

Daily mortality data attributed to stroke and cardiovascular was compiled from Australia between 1989 and 2015, amounting to approximately 700,000 and 250,000 deaths, respectively. A locally weighted polynomial regression line was used to estimate expected mortality rates during that period and compared with actual results.

RESULTS

There was a non-significant increase of 1.08% (P = 0.35) and 0.20% (P = 0.87) for coronary heart disease and stroke mortality, respectively, in the Christmas holiday period.

CONCLUSIONS

There is no evidence of an increase in cardiovascular and stroke mortality in the Christmas holiday period in Australia.

摘要

目的

在之前的研究以及在南北半球中,心血管事件和死亡率在圣诞节假期期间显示出更高的发生率。我们的研究旨在评估澳大利亚圣诞节期间心血管和中风死亡率变化的情况。

研究设计

研究设计为基于人群的病例对照研究。

方法

从 1989 年至 2015 年,澳大利亚收集了有关中风和心血管疾病的每日死亡率数据,分别约为 700000 和 250000 例死亡。使用局部加权多项式回归线来估计该期间的预期死亡率,并将其与实际结果进行比较。

结果

在圣诞节假期期间,冠心病和中风死亡率分别有非显著的增加了 1.08%(P=0.35)和 0.20%(P=0.87)。

结论

在澳大利亚,圣诞节假期期间心血管和中风死亡率没有增加的证据。

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Public Health. 2020 May;182:190-192. doi: 10.1016/j.puhe.2020.03.004. Epub 2020 Apr 28.
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