School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Seoul National University, 1 Gwanak-ro, Gwanak-gu, Seoul, 08826, Republic of Korea.
Korea Institute of Geoscience and Mineral Resources, 124 Gwahak-ro, Yuseong-gu, Daejeon, 34132, Republic of Korea.
J Environ Manage. 2020 Aug 15;268:110646. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2020.110646. Epub 2020 May 14.
Groundwater nitrate contamination has been the main water quality problem threatening the sustainable utilization of water resources in Jeju Island, South Korea. The spatially varying distribution of nitrate levels associated with complex environmental and anthropogenic factors has been a major challenge restricting improved groundwater management. In this study, we applied ordinary least squares (OLS) regression and geographically weighted regression (GWR) models to determine the relationships between the NO-N concentration and various parameters (topography, hydrology and land use) across the island. A comparison between the OLS regression and GWR prediction models showed that the GWR models outperformed the OLS regression models, with a higher R and a lower corrected Akaike Information Criterion (AICc) value than the OLS regression models. Interestingly, the GWR model was able to provide undiscovered information that was not revealed in the OLS regression models. For example, the GWR model found that orchards (OR) and urban (UR) variables significantly contributed to nitrate enrichment in the certain parts of the island, whereas these variables were ignored as a statistically insignificant factor in the OLS regression model. Our study highlighted that GWR models are a useful tool for investigating spatially varying relationships between groundwater quality and environmental factors; therefore, it can be applied to establish advanced groundwater management plans by reflecting the spatial heterogeneity associated with environmental and anthropogenic conditions.
地下水硝酸盐污染一直是威胁韩国济州岛水资源可持续利用的主要水质问题。硝酸盐水平的空间变化分布与复杂的环境和人为因素有关,这是限制地下水管理改善的主要挑战。在本研究中,我们应用普通最小二乘法(OLS)回归和地理加权回归(GWR)模型来确定 NO-N 浓度与岛屿上各种参数(地形、水文学和土地利用)之间的关系。OLS 回归和 GWR 预测模型之间的比较表明,GWR 模型的表现优于 OLS 回归模型,其 R 值更高,校正的 Akaike 信息准则(AICc)值更低。有趣的是,GWR 模型能够提供 OLS 回归模型未揭示的未发现信息。例如,GWR 模型发现果园(OR)和城市(UR)变量对岛屿某些地区的硝酸盐富化有显著贡献,而这些变量在 OLS 回归模型中被忽略为统计上不重要的因素。我们的研究强调,GWR 模型是研究地下水质量与环境因素之间空间变化关系的有用工具;因此,它可以通过反映与环境和人为条件相关的空间异质性,应用于制定先进的地下水管理计划。