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考察全球化和旅游业对南亚污染排放的非对称影响。

Examining the asymmetric effects of globalization and tourism on pollution emissions in South Asia.

机构信息

School of Economics, Quaid-i-Azam University, Islamabad, Pakistan.

Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Cag University, 33800, Mersin, Turkey.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2020 Aug;27(22):27721-27737. doi: 10.1007/s11356-020-09057-9. Epub 2020 May 12.

Abstract

The asymmetrical impacts of globalization and tourism on pollution emissions of 5 South Asian countries for the period from 1980 to 2018 are examined through a non-linear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) technique, which shows that both short and long-run coefficients are asymmetric. The findings suggest that positive and negative shocks in globalization affect carbon emissions differently in the case of Bangladesh, India, and Pakistan, while similar results are found in the case of Nepal and Sri Lanka in the long run. Furthermore, positive tourism shock, in the long run, ameliorates the environmental quality by reducing carbon emissions in Nepal and Sri Lanka, however, increases the carbon emissions in Bangladesh, India, and Pakistan. While negative tourism shock has an adverse effect on positive shock on carbon emissions in South Asia. The phenomena of globalization and tourism can exert a severe impact in aggravating the pollution emissions that policymakers should forecast and oppose. Based on these findings, some policy suggestions are proposed for South Asian economies.

摘要

通过非线性自回归分布滞后(NARDL)技术研究了 1980 年至 2018 年期间全球化和旅游业对 5 个南亚国家污染排放的非对称影响,结果表明短期和长期系数都是不对称的。研究结果表明,全球化的正向和负向冲击对孟加拉国、印度和巴基斯坦的碳排放有不同的影响,而尼泊尔和斯里兰卡在长期内则有类似的结果。此外,长期来看,正向旅游冲击通过减少尼泊尔和斯里兰卡的碳排放来改善环境质量,但在孟加拉国、印度和巴基斯坦却增加了碳排放。而负向旅游冲击对南亚的碳排放的正向冲击有不利影响。全球化和旅游业的现象可能会对加剧污染排放产生严重影响,政策制定者应该对此进行预测和抵制。基于这些发现,为南亚经济体提出了一些政策建议。

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