Dolinski Dariusz, Dolinska Barbara, Zmaczynska-Witek Barbara, Banach Maciej, Kulesza Wojciech
SWPS University of Social Sciences and Humanities, Faculty of Psychology in Wroclaw, 53-238 Wroclaw, Poland.
University of Opole, Faculty of Social Sciences, 45-052 Opole, Poland.
J Clin Med. 2020 May 13;9(5):1464. doi: 10.3390/jcm9051464.
: The results of numerous empirical studies have showed the occurrence of so-called unrealistic optimism. Thus, we aimed to investigate whether in the situation of an imminent coronavirus pandemic, people would still perceive themselves as being less exposed to the disease than others. : Survey studies were conducted to examine the level of unrealistic optimism. Participants ( = 171, 67.3% of women) in a subjective way judged the risk of their coronavirus infection and the likelihood that this would happen to an average student of the same sex from their class. The survey was conducted in three waves: prior to the announcement of the first case of coronavirus (2-3 March), immediately after that announcement (5-6 March), and a few days later (9-10 March). : We showed that women estimated the chances of being infected as significantly higher ( = 4.52, = 2.079; = 2.387; = 0.018; = 0.393) than men ( = 3.71, = 2.042). The phenomenon of unrealistic optimism was observed especially in men (as compared to other male participants) as it appeared in all three measures ( (you) = 3.95 vs. (other male student) = 4.63; = 3.71 vs. = 4.68, and = 4.46 vs. = 5.38 in phase one, two, and three, respectively; 0.006 for all comparison), but also in women in the last two measures ((you) = 4.55 vs. (other female student) = 4.95 and = 4.99 vs. = 5.38 in phase 2 and 3, respectively; 0.012 for both comparisons). : The study revealed a fairly general occurrence of unrealistic optimism, which was mainly observed in men as it appeared in all three measures, but also in women in the last two measures. This result is important for health experts who are responsible for making people comply with regulations concerning social distancing, putting masks on to stop infection, and staying at home. It is possible that unrealistically optimistic people will behave much less in line with the aforementioned recommendations, causing coronavirus to spread widely.
大量实证研究结果显示了所谓不现实乐观主义的存在。因此,我们旨在调查在即将到来的新冠疫情形势下,人们是否仍会认为自己比其他人感染该疾病的可能性更小。:开展调查研究以检验不现实乐观主义的程度。参与者(共171人,67.3%为女性)以主观方式判断自己感染新冠病毒的风险以及同班级同性别的普通学生感染的可能性。调查分三个阶段进行:在首例新冠病例公布前(3月2 - 3日)、公布后立即(3月5 - 6日)以及几天后(3月9 - 10日)。:我们发现,女性估计自己感染的可能性显著高于男性(t = 4.52,标准差 = 2.079;标准误 = 2.387;p = 0.018;效应量 = 0.393)(女性平均分为3.71,标准差 = 2.042)。不现实乐观主义现象尤其在男性中出现(与其他男性参与者相比),在所有三项测量中均有体现(第一阶段“你”平均分为3.95,“其他男同学”平均分为4.63;第二阶段平均分为3.71对4.68,第三阶段平均分为4.46对5.38;所有比较p < 0.006),但在女性中,后两项测量中也存在(第二阶段“你”平均分为4.55,“其他女同学”平均分为4.95;第三阶段平均分为4.99对5.38;两项比较p = 0.012)。:研究揭示了不现实乐观主义相当普遍的存在情况,这种现象主要在男性的所有三项测量中出现,但在女性的后两项测量中也存在。这一结果对于负责让人们遵守社交距离规定、佩戴口罩以防止感染以及居家隔离等规定的健康专家来说很重要。不现实乐观的人可能不太会遵守上述建议,从而导致新冠病毒广泛传播。