南亚的经济增长：二氧化碳排放、人口密度和贸易开放度的作用。
Economic growth in South Asia: the role of CO emissions, population density and trade openness.
作者信息
Rahman Mohammad Mafizur, Saidi Kais, Mbarek Mounir Ben
机构信息
School of Commerce, University of Southern Queensland, Australia.
Department of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Management, University of Sfax, Tunisia.
出版信息
Heliyon. 2020 May 8;6(5):e03903. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2020.e03903. eCollection 2020 May.
This study investigates the impact of CO emissions, population density, and trade openness on the economic growth of five South Asian countries. Using data from 1990 to 2017 the panel co-integration approach of extended neoclassical growth model is used. The obtained results reveal that CO emissions and population density positively and trade openness negatively affect the economic growth in South Asia. The extent of effect of population density is greater than that of CO emissions. Granger causality results exhibit a bidirectional causality between economic growth and CO emissions, and between trade openness and CO emissions. There is a unidirectional causality running from trade openness to economic growth, from population density to CO emissions and from labor to economic growth and population density. A detailed policy prescription is provided based on the findings.
本研究考察了二氧化碳排放、人口密度和贸易开放度对五个南亚国家经济增长的影响。利用1990年至2017年的数据，采用扩展新古典增长模型的面板协整方法。所得结果表明，二氧化碳排放和人口密度对南亚经济增长有正向影响，而贸易开放度有负向影响。人口密度的影响程度大于二氧化碳排放。格兰杰因果检验结果显示，经济增长与二氧化碳排放之间、贸易开放度与二氧化碳排放之间存在双向因果关系。贸易开放度与经济增长之间、人口密度与二氧化碳排放之间、劳动力与经济增长及人口密度之间存在单向因果关系。基于研究结果给出了详细的政策建议。
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