Jennifer Falbe is with the Human Development and Family Studies Program, Department of Human Ecology, University of California, Davis. At the time of the study, Matthew M. Lee was with the divisions of Community Health Sciences and Epidemiology, University of California, Berkeley School of Public Health. Nadia A. Rojas and Kristine A. Madsen were with the Division of Community Health Sciences, University of California, Berkeley School of Public Health. Scott Kaplan is with the Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics, University of California, Berkeley. Alberto M. Ortega Hinojosa is with the Health Division, IMPAQ International, Oakland, CA.
Am J Public Health. 2020 Jul;110(7):1017-1023. doi: 10.2105/AJPH.2020.305602. Epub 2020 May 21.
To examine how much sugar-sweetened beverage (SSB) excise taxes increased SSB retail prices in Oakland and San Francisco, California. We collected pretax (April-May 2017) and posttax (April-May 2018) retail prices of SSBs and non-SSBs from 155 stores in Oakland, San Francisco, and comparison cities. We analyzed data using difference-in-differences high-dimensional fixed-effects regressions, weighted by regional beverage sales. Across all beverage sizes, the weighted average price of SSBs increased by 0.92 cents per ounce (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.28, 1.56) in Oakland and 1.00 cents per ounce (95% CI = 0.35, 1.65) in San Francisco, compared with prices in untaxed cities. The tax did not significantly alter prices of water, 100% juice, or milk of any size examined. Diet soda only, among non-SSBs, exhibited a higher price increase for some sizes in taxed cities. Within 4 to 10 months of implementation, Oakland's and San Francisco's SSB excise taxes significantly increased SSB retail prices by approximately the amount of the taxes, a key mechanism for reducing consumption.
为了考察加利福尼亚州奥克兰和旧金山的含糖饮料(SSB)消费税提高了 SSB 零售价格的幅度。我们收集了奥克兰、旧金山和对照城市 155 家商店在征税前(2017 年 4 月至 5 月)和征税后(2018 年 4 月至 5 月)SSB 和非 SSB 的零售价格。我们使用高维固定效应回归的差异分析方法对数据进行了分析,权重为区域饮料销售额。在所有饮料规格中,与未征税城市相比,奥克兰的 SSB 加权平均价格每盎司上涨 0.92 美分(95%置信区间 [CI]:0.28,1.56),旧金山上涨 1.00 美分(95%CI:0.35,1.65)。该税并未显著改变水、100%果汁或任何规格牛奶的价格。在所考察的征税城市中,只有无糖苏打水在某些规格的非 SSB 中价格涨幅更高。在实施后的 4 到 10 个月内,奥克兰和旧金山的 SSB 消费税显著提高了 SSB 的零售价格,涨幅与税额大致相当,这是减少消费的一个关键机制。