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2020 年 3 月至 4 月意大利和伦巴第地区类似新冠病毒症状的流行情况,以及它们对癌症预防、诊断和管理的影响。

Prevalence of COVID-19-like symptoms in Italy and Lombardy, March-April 2020, and their implications on cancer prevention, diagnosis and management.

机构信息

Department of Biomedical and Clinical Sciences, University of Milan.

BVA-Doxa.

出版信息

Eur J Cancer Prev. 2021 Mar 1;30(2):123-125. doi: 10.1097/CEJ.0000000000000604.

Abstract

Two population-based surveys on coronavirus disease-2019 (Covid-19)-like symptoms were conducted by BVA-Doxa on representative samples of the general population from Italy and its largest region, Lombardy, with over 10 million inhabitants and heavily struck by Covid-19, on 27-30 March and 3-7 April, on a total of 2000 individuals - 353 from Lombardy. Overall, 14.2% of Italians - and 19.6% in Lombardy - reported Covid-19-like symptoms. The estimated prevalence was higher in the young, in smokers, and in Lombardy over the period 20 March to 7 April. Although the influenza season was ended by mid-March, at least part of the symptoms may be not Covid-19 related. Even assuming that only half are, at least 7% of Italians and 10% in Lombardy had been affected by Covid-19. To these, asymptomatic or paucisymptomatic cases have to be added. These estimates are at least one or two orders of magnitude larger than official registered cases. This has major implications for cancer prevention, management and treatment.

摘要

BVA-Doxa 在意大利及其人口最多的地区伦巴第进行了两次针对冠状病毒病 2019(Covid-19)样症状的基于人群的调查,该调查采用具有代表性的普通人群样本,调查时间为 3 月 27 日至 30 日和 4 月 3 日至 7 日,共涉及 2000 人-353 人来自伦巴第。总体而言,14.2%的意大利人-伦巴第地区为 19.6%-报告有 Covid-19 样症状。在年轻人、吸烟者以及 3 月 20 日至 7 日期间的伦巴第,估计患病率更高。尽管流感季节已于 3 月中旬结束,但至少部分症状可能与 Covid-19 无关。即使假设只有一半是这样,至少有 7%的意大利人和 10%的伦巴第人受到了 Covid-19 的影响。此外,还应加上无症状或症状轻微的病例。这些估计数至少比官方登记的病例高出一到两个数量级。这对癌症的预防、管理和治疗具有重大影响。

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The early phase of the COVID-19 epidemic in Lombardy, Italy.意大利伦巴第大区的 COVID-19 疫情早期阶段。
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