Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Key Laboratory for Environment and Health, School of Public Health, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China.
Department of Oncology, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China.
Lancet Oncol. 2020 Jul;21(7):893-903. doi: 10.1016/S1470-2045(20)30309-0. Epub 2020 May 29.
COVID-19 has spread globally. Epidemiological susceptibility to COVID-19 has been reported in patients with cancer. We aimed to systematically characterise clinical features and determine risk factors of COVID-19 disease severity for patients with cancer and COVID-19.
In this multicentre, retrospective, cohort study, we included all adult patients (aged ≥18 years) with any type of malignant solid tumours and haematological malignancy who were admitted to nine hospitals in Wuhan, China, with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 between Jan 13 and March 18, 2020. Enrolled patients were statistically matched (2:1) with patients admitted with COVID-19 who did not have cancer with propensity score on the basis of age, sex, and comorbidities. Demographic characteristics, laboratory examinations, illness severity, and clinical interventions were compared between patients with COVID-19 with or without cancer as well as between patients with cancer with non-severe or severe COVID-19. COVID-19 disease severity was defined on admission on the basis of the WHO guidelines. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression, adjusted for age, sex, comorbidities, cancer type, tumour stage, and antitumour treatments, were used to explore risk factors associated with COVID-19 disease severity. This study was registered in the Chinese Clinical Trial Register, ChiCTR2000030807.
Between Jan 13 and March 18, 2020, 13 077 patients with COVID-19 were admitted to the nine hospitals in Wuhan and 232 patients with cancer and 519 statistically matched patients without cancer were enrolled. Median follow-up was 29 days (IQR 22-38) in patients with cancer and 27 days (20-35) in patients without cancer. Patients with cancer were more likely to have severe COVID-19 than patients without cancer (148 [64%] of 232 vs 166 [32%] of 519; odds ratio [OR] 3·61 [95% CI 2·59-5·04]; p<0·0001). Risk factors previously reported in patients without cancer, such as older age; elevated interleukin 6, procalcitonin, and D-dimer; and reduced lymphocytes were validated in patients with cancer. We also identified advanced tumour stage (OR 2·60, 95% CI 1·05-6·43; p=0·039), elevated tumour necrosis factor α (1·22, 1·01-1·47; p=0·037), elevated N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (1·65, 1·03-2·78; p=0·032), reduced CD4+ T cells (0·84, 0·71-0·98; p=0·031), and reduced albumin-globulin ratio (0·12, 0·02-0·77; p=0·024) as risk factors of COVID-19 severity in patients with cancer.
Patients with cancer and COVID-19 were more likely to deteriorate into severe illness than those without cancer. The risk factors identified here could be helpful for early clinical surveillance of disease progression in patients with cancer who present with COVID-19.
China National Natural Science Foundation.
COVID-19 已在全球范围内传播。有报道称,癌症患者对 COVID-19 具有易感性。我们旨在系统地描述 COVID-19 患者的临床特征,并确定 COVID-19 疾病严重程度的风险因素。
在这项多中心、回顾性、队列研究中,我们纳入了 2020 年 1 月 13 日至 3 月 18 日期间在中国武汉的 9 家医院因实验室确诊 COVID-19 而住院的所有患有任何类型恶性实体瘤和血液恶性肿瘤的成年患者(年龄≥18 岁)。根据年龄、性别和合并症,使用倾向评分对入院的 COVID-19 患者与癌症患者进行了统计学匹配(2:1)。将 COVID-19 合并癌症患者与 COVID-19 无癌症患者的人口统计学特征、实验室检查、疾病严重程度和临床干预进行了比较,也比较了癌症患者中 COVID-19 非重症与重症患者的比较。根据世界卫生组织(WHO)指南,入院时确定 COVID-19 疾病严重程度。采用单变量和多变量逻辑回归分析,调整年龄、性别、合并症、癌症类型、肿瘤分期和抗肿瘤治疗,以探讨与 COVID-19 疾病严重程度相关的风险因素。本研究在中国临床试验注册中心注册,注册号 ChiCTR2000030807。
2020 年 1 月 13 日至 3 月 18 日期间,武汉的 9 家医院共收治了 13077 例 COVID-19 患者,其中 232 例癌症患者和 519 例经统计学匹配无癌症患者纳入研究。癌症患者的中位随访时间为 29 天(22-38),无癌症患者的中位随访时间为 27 天(20-35)。与无癌症患者相比,癌症患者更有可能出现严重 COVID-19(232 例中的 148 例[64%]与 519 例中的 166 例[32%];比值比[OR]3.61[95%CI 2.59-5.04];p<0.0001)。先前在无癌症患者中报道的风险因素,如年龄较大;白细胞介素 6、降钙素原和 D-二聚体升高;以及淋巴细胞减少,在癌症患者中也得到了验证。我们还发现晚期肿瘤分期(OR 2.60,95%CI 1.05-6.43;p=0.039)、肿瘤坏死因子-α(1.22,1.01-1.47;p=0.037)、N 末端 B 型利钠肽前体(1.65,1.03-2.78;p=0.032)、CD4+T 细胞(0.84,0.71-0.98;p=0.031)和白蛋白-球蛋白比值(0.12,0.02-0.77;p=0.024)降低是癌症患者 COVID-19 严重程度的风险因素。
与无癌症患者相比,癌症合并 COVID-19 的患者更有可能恶化至重症。这里确定的风险因素可能有助于对患有 COVID-19 的癌症患者进行疾病进展的早期临床监测。
中国国家自然科学基金。