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Publishing research with P-values: Prescribe more stringent statistical significance or proscribe statistical significance?发表带有P值的研究:规定更严格的统计显著性还是禁止统计显著性?
Eur Heart J. 2019 Aug 14;40(31):2553-2554. doi: 10.1093/eurheartj/ehz555.
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Offer daily aspirin to cut risk of colorectal cancer in people with Lynch syndrome, says NICE.英国国家卫生与临床优化研究所(NICE)称,为林奇综合征患者提供每日服用阿司匹林的方案可降低患结直肠癌的风险。
BMJ. 2019 Aug 2;366:l5010. doi: 10.1136/bmj.l5010.
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Prevalence of Aspirin Use for Primary Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease in the United States: Results From the 2017 National Health Interview Survey.美国阿司匹林用于心血管疾病一级预防的流行情况:2017年全国健康访谈调查结果
Ann Intern Med. 2019 Oct 15;171(8):596-598. doi: 10.7326/M19-0953. Epub 2019 Jul 23.
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Redefine statistical significance.重新定义统计学显著性。
Nat Hum Behav. 2018 Jan;2(1):6-10. doi: 10.1038/s41562-017-0189-z.
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2019 ACC/AHA Guideline on the Primary Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease: Executive Summary: A Report of the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Task Force on Clinical Practice Guidelines.2019 ACC/AHA 心血管疾病一级预防指南:执行摘要:美国心脏病学会/美国心脏协会临床实践指南工作组的报告。
J Am Coll Cardiol. 2019 Sep 10;74(10):1376-1414. doi: 10.1016/j.jacc.2019.03.009. Epub 2019 Mar 17.
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Random-Effects Meta-analysis: Summarizing Evidence With Caveats.随机效应荟萃分析:带有注意事项的证据总结
JAMA. 2019 Jan 22;321(3):301-302. doi: 10.1001/jama.2018.19684.
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Effect of Aspirin on All-Cause Mortality in the Healthy Elderly.阿司匹林对健康老年人全因死亡率的影响。
N Engl J Med. 2018 Oct 18;379(16):1519-1528. doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa1803955. Epub 2018 Sep 16.
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Use of aspirin to reduce risk of initial vascular events in patients at moderate risk of cardiovascular disease (ARRIVE): a randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial.阿司匹林用于降低心血管疾病中危患者首发血管事件风险(ARRIVE)的研究:一项随机、双盲、安慰剂对照试验。
Lancet. 2018 Sep 22;392(10152):1036-1046. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(18)31924-X. Epub 2018 Aug 26.
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Effects of Aspirin for Primary Prevention in Persons with Diabetes Mellitus.阿司匹林用于糖尿病患者一级预防的效果。
N Engl J Med. 2018 Oct 18;379(16):1529-1539. doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa1804988. Epub 2018 Aug 26.
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Ten simple rules for conducting umbrella reviews.进行伞式综述的 10 个简单规则。
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低剂量阿司匹林对健康结局的影响:系统评价与荟萃分析的伞状综述

Effect of low-dose aspirin on health outcomes: An umbrella review of systematic reviews and meta-analyses.

作者信息

Veronese Nicola, Demurtas Jacopo, Thompson Trevor, Solmi Marco, Pesolillo Gabriella, Celotto Stefano, Barnini Tommaso, Stubbs Brendon, Maggi Stefania, Pilotto Alberto, Onder Graziano, Theodoratou Evropi, Vaona Alberto, Firth Joseph, Smith Lee, Koyanagi Ai, Ioannidis John P A, Tzoulaki Ioanna

机构信息

National Research Council, Neuroscience Institute, Aging Branch, Padua, Italy.

Geriatrics Unit, Department of Geriatric Care, Ortho Geriatrics and Rehabilitation, Frailty Area, E.O. Galliera Hospital, Genoa, Italy.

出版信息

Br J Clin Pharmacol. 2020 Aug;86(8):1465-1475. doi: 10.1111/bcp.14310. Epub 2020 Jun 2.

DOI:10.1111/bcp.14310
PMID:32488906
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7373714/
Abstract

AIMS

This study aimed to use an umbrella review methodology to capture the range of outcomes that were associated with low-dose aspirin and to systematically assess the credibility of this evidence.

METHODS

Aspirin is associated with several health outcomes, but the overall benefit/risk balance related to aspirin use is unclear. We searched three major databases up to 15 August 2019 for meta-analyses of observational studies and randomized controlled trials (RCTs) including low-dose aspirin compared to placebo or other treatments. Based on random-effects summary effect sizes, 95% prediction intervals, heterogeneity, small-study effects and excess significance, significant meta-analyses of observational studies were classified from convincing (class I) to weak (class IV). For meta-analyses of RCTs, outcomes with random effects P-value < .005 and a moderate/high GRADE assessment, were classified as strong evidence. From 6802 hits, 67 meta-analyses (156 outcomes) were eligible.

RESULTS

Observational data showed highly suggestive evidence for aspirin use and increased risk of upper gastrointestinal bleeding (RR = 2.28, 95% CI: 1.97-2.64). In RCTs of low-dose aspirin, we observed strong evidence for lower risk of CVD in people without CVD (RR = 0.83; 95% CI: 0.79-0.87) and in general population (RR = 0.83; 95% CI: 0.79-0.89), higher risk of major gastrointestinal (RR = 1.47; 95% CI: 1.26-1.72) and intracranial bleeding (RR = 1.34; 95% CI: 1.18-1.53), and of major bleedings in people without CVD (RR = 1.62; 95% CI: 1.26-2.08).

CONCLUSION

Compared to other active medications, low-dose aspirin had strong evidence for lower risk of bleeding, but also lower comparative efficacy. Low-dose aspirin significantly lowers CVD risk and increases risk of bleeding. Evidence for multiple other health outcomes is limited.

摘要

目的

本研究旨在采用一种汇总分析方法,以了解与低剂量阿司匹林相关的一系列结果,并系统评估该证据的可信度。

方法

阿司匹林与多种健康结果相关,但使用阿司匹林的总体利弊平衡尚不清楚。我们检索了截至2019年8月15日的三个主要数据库,以查找观察性研究和随机对照试验(RCT)的荟萃分析,这些研究包括将低剂量阿司匹林与安慰剂或其他治疗方法进行比较。基于随机效应汇总效应大小、95%预测区间、异质性、小研究效应和过度显著性,观察性研究的显著荟萃分析从令人信服(I类)到薄弱(IV类)进行分类。对于RCT的荟萃分析,随机效应P值<0.005且GRADE评估为中度/高度的结果被归类为有力证据。在6802条检索结果中,67项荟萃分析(156个结果)符合条件。

结果

观察性数据显示,有高度提示性证据表明使用阿司匹林会增加上消化道出血风险(RR = 2.28,95% CI:1.97 - 2.64)。在低剂量阿司匹林的RCT中,我们观察到有力证据表明,在无心血管疾病的人群中(RR = 0.83;95% CI:0.79 - 0.87)以及在一般人群中(RR = 0.83;95% CI:0.79 - 0.89),心血管疾病风险较低;而主要胃肠道出血(RR = 1.47;95% CI:1.26 - 1.72)和颅内出血(RR = 1.34;95% CI:1.18 - 1.53)风险较高,在无心血管疾病的人群中主要出血风险也较高(RR = 1.62;95% CI:1.26 - 2.08)。

结论

与其他活性药物相比,低剂量阿司匹林有有力证据表明出血风险较低,但相对疗效也较低。低剂量阿司匹林可显著降低心血管疾病风险,但会增加出血风险。关于其他多种健康结果的证据有限。