Division of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Washington University School of Medicine, St Louis, Missouri.
Division of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Washington University School of Medicine, St Louis, Missouri.
Ann Thorac Surg. 2020 Dec;110(6):1909-1916. doi: 10.1016/j.athoracsur.2020.04.077. Epub 2020 Jun 3.
Learning curves and skill attrition with aging have been reported to impair outcomes in select surgical subspecialties, but their role in complex cardiac surgery remains unknown.
From 1986 to 2019, 2314 patients underwent reoperative cardiac surgery: coronary artery bypass grafting (n = 543), valve (n = 1527), or combined coronary artery bypass grafting and valve (n = 244). Thirty-four different surgeons in practice between 1 and 39 years were included. Standardized mortality ratio (observed-to-expected) was determined for all surgeons in each post-training year of experience.
Risk-adjusted cumulative sum change-point analysis was used to define five distinct career phases: 0 to 4 years, 5 to 8 years, 9 to 17 years, 18 to 28 years, and 29 to 39 years. With 5 to 8 years and 18 to 28 years of experience, standardized mortality ratio was near unity (0.95 and 1.05, respectively) and lowest with 9 to 17 years of experience (0.78, P = .03). In the youngest experience group (0 to 4 years), observed and expected mortality were both highest, and standardized mortality ratio was elevated at 1.29, which approached statistical significance (P = .059). In the oldest experience group (29 to 39 years), expected mortality was low compared with most other groups but observed mortality increased, yielding a significantly elevated standardized mortality ratio at 1.53 (P = .032).
Standardized mortality ratios with reoperative cardiac surgery were highest early and late in a surgeon's career and lowest in mid career. As surgeons gain experience, outcomes improve through the first two career decades, then stabilize in the third decade before declining in the fourth decade.
在某些外科专科中,学习曲线和技能衰减随着年龄的增长而导致结果受损,但它们在复杂心脏手术中的作用尚不清楚。
1986 年至 2019 年,2314 例患者接受了再次心脏手术:冠状动脉旁路移植术(n=543)、瓣膜手术(n=1527)或冠状动脉旁路移植术和瓣膜手术的联合手术(n=244)。共有 34 位不同的在实践中的外科医生在 1 至 39 年的时间内进行了手术。为每位外科医生在接受培训后的每一年经验中确定标准化死亡率(观察到的与预期的)。
使用风险调整累积和变化点分析来定义五个不同的职业阶段:0 至 4 年、5 至 8 年、9 至 17 年、18 至 28 年和 29 至 39 年。在 5 至 8 年和 18 至 28 年的经验中,标准化死亡率接近 1(分别为 0.95 和 1.05),在 9 至 17 年的经验中最低(0.78,P=0.03)。在经验最年轻的组(0 至 4 年)中,观察到的和预期的死亡率都最高,标准化死亡率升高至 1.29,接近统计学意义(P=0.059)。在最年长的经验组(29 至 39 年)中,与大多数其他组相比,预期死亡率较低,但观察到的死亡率增加,导致标准化死亡率显著升高至 1.53(P=0.032)。
再次心脏手术后的标准化死亡率在外科医生职业生涯的早期和晚期最高,在中期最低。随着外科医生经验的增加,结果在前两个职业十年中得到改善,然后在第三个十年中稳定下来,然后在第四个十年中下降。