Institute of Neuroscience and Physiology, Department of Psychiatry and Neurochemistry, Unit of Psychiatric Epidemiology, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Wallinsgatan 6, 431 41, Mölndal, Sweden.
BMC Geriatr. 2020 Jun 9;20(1):201. doi: 10.1186/s12877-020-01603-x.
This study examined whether loneliness predicts cardiovascular- and all-cause mortality in older men and women.
Baseline data from the Gothenburg H70 Birth Cohort Studies, collected during 2000 on 70-year-olds born 1930 and living in Gothenburg were used for analysis (n = 524). Mortality data were analyzed until 2012 through Swedish national registers.
Perceived loneliness was reported by 17.1% of the men and 30.9% of the women in a face-to-face interview with mental health professional. A total of 142 participants died during the 12-year follow-up period, with 5334 person-years at risk, corresponding to 26.6 deaths/1000 person-years. Cardiovascular disease accounted for 59.2% of all deaths. The cumulative rates/1000 person-years for cardiovascular mortality were 20.8 (men) and 11.5 (women), and for all-cause mortality 33.8 (men) and 20.5 (women), respectively. In Cox regression models, no significant increased risk of mortality was seen for men with loneliness compared to men without loneliness (cardiovascular mortality HR 1.52, 95% CI 0.78-2.96; all-cause HR 1.32, 95% CI 0.77-2.28). Increased risk of cardiovascular mortality was observed in women with loneliness compared to those without (HR 2.25 95% CI 1.14-4.45), and the risk remained significant in a multivariable-adjusted model (HR 2.42 95% CI 1.04-5.65).
Loneliness was shown to be an independent predictor of cardiovascular mortality in women. We found no evidence to indicate that loneliness was associated with an increased risk of either cardiovascular- or all-cause mortality in men.
本研究旨在探讨孤独感是否会预测老年男性和女性的心血管疾病和全因死亡率。
本研究使用了哥德堡 H70 出生队列研究的基线数据,该研究于 2000 年对出生于 1930 年、居住在哥德堡的 70 岁人群进行了调查(n=524)。通过瑞典国家登记册对死亡率数据进行了分析,分析截至 2012 年。
在与心理健康专业人员的面对面访谈中,17.1%的男性和 30.9%的女性报告存在孤独感。在 12 年的随访期间,共有 142 名参与者死亡,风险人数为 5334 人年,相当于每 1000 人年有 26.6 人死亡。心血管疾病占所有死亡人数的 59.2%。心血管疾病死亡率的累积率/1000 人年分别为男性 20.8 例和女性 11.5 例,全因死亡率分别为男性 33.8 例和女性 20.5 例。在 Cox 回归模型中,与不孤独的男性相比,孤独的男性的死亡率无显著升高风险(心血管疾病死亡率 HR 1.52,95%CI 0.78-2.96;全因死亡率 HR 1.32,95%CI 0.77-2.28)。与不孤独的女性相比,孤独的女性发生心血管疾病死亡率的风险增加(HR 2.25,95%CI 1.14-4.45),且在多变量调整模型中该风险仍具有统计学意义(HR 2.42,95%CI 1.04-5.65)。
孤独感是女性心血管疾病死亡率的独立预测因素。我们没有发现证据表明孤独感与男性的心血管疾病或全因死亡率增加相关。