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新加坡新冠疫情与气象参数的关联研究。

Association of COVID-19 pandemic with meteorological parameters over Singapore.

机构信息

Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Central University, Taoyuan 32001, Taiwan.

Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Central University, Taoyuan 32001, Taiwan; Center for Environmental Monitoring and Technology, National Central University, Taoyuan 32001, Taiwan.

出版信息

Sci Total Environ. 2020 Oct 20;740:140112. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.140112. Epub 2020 Jun 12.

DOI:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.140112
PMID:32544735
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7289735/
Abstract

Meteorological parameters are the critical factors affecting the transmission of infectious diseases such as Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (MERS), Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS), and influenza. Consequently, infectious disease incidence rates are likely to be influenced by the weather change. This study investigates the role of Singapore's hot tropical weather in COVID-19 transmission by exploring the association between meteorological parameters and the COVID-19 pandemic cases in Singapore. This study uses the secondary data of COVID-19 daily cases from the webpage of Ministry of Health (MOH), Singapore. Spearman and Kendall rank correlation tests were used to investigate the correlation between COVID-19 and meteorological parameters. Temperature, dew point, relative humidity, absolute humidity, and water vapor showed positive significant correlation with COVID-19 pandemic. These results will help the epidemiologists to understand the behavior of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) virus against meteorological variables. This study finding would be also a useful supplement to help the local healthcare policymakers, Center for Disease Control (CDC), and the World Health Organization (WHO) in the process of strategy making to combat COVID-19 in Singapore.

摘要

气象参数是影响传染病传播的关键因素,如中东呼吸综合征(MERS)、严重急性呼吸综合征(SARS)和流感。因此,传染病发病率可能受到天气变化的影响。本研究通过探讨气象参数与新加坡 COVID-19 大流行病例之间的关系,研究新加坡炎热热带天气对 COVID-19 传播的影响。本研究使用了新加坡卫生部网页上 COVID-19 每日病例的二级数据。采用 Spearman 和 Kendall 秩相关检验来研究 COVID-19 与气象参数之间的相关性。温度、露点、相对湿度、绝对湿度和水汽与 COVID-19 大流行呈正显著相关。这些结果将帮助流行病学家了解严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒 2(SARS-CoV-2)病毒对气象变量的行为。本研究的发现也将是对当地卫生保健政策制定者、疾病控制中心(CDC)和世界卫生组织(WHO)在制定抗击新加坡 COVID-19 战略过程的有益补充。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d565/7289735/1c0d606ede07/gr3_lrg.jpg
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https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d565/7289735/98793eb1885c/gr2_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d565/7289735/1c0d606ede07/gr3_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d565/7289735/efbf131dea79/ga1_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d565/7289735/c9f6a25dfbf3/gr1_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d565/7289735/98793eb1885c/gr2_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d565/7289735/1c0d606ede07/gr3_lrg.jpg

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