Department of Ophthalmology, College of Medicine, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China.
Hangzhou Truth Medical Technology Ltd, Hangzhou, China.
Acta Ophthalmol. 2021 Feb;99(1):e19-e27. doi: 10.1111/aos.14514. Epub 2020 Jun 22.
PURPOSE: To predict the anti-vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) therapeutic response of diabetic macular oedema (DME) patients from optical coherence tomography (OCT) at the initiation stage of treatment using a machine learning-based self-explainable system. METHODS: A total of 712 DME patients were included and classified into poor and good responder groups according to central macular thickness decrease after three consecutive injections. Machine learning models were constructed to make predictions based on related features extracted automatically using deep learning algorithms from OCT scans at baseline. Five-fold cross-validation was applied to optimize and evaluate the models. The model with the best performance was then compared with two ophthalmologists. Feature importance was further investigated, and a Wilcoxon rank-sum test was performed to assess the difference of a single feature between two groups. RESULTS: Of 712 patients, 294 were poor responders and 418 were good responders. The best performance for the prediction task was achieved by random forest (RF), with sensitivity, specificity and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.900, 0.851 and 0.923. Ophthalmologist 1 and ophthalmologist 2 reached sensitivity of 0.775 and 0.750, and specificity of 0.716 and 0.821, respectively. The sum of hyperreflective dots was found to be the most relevant feature for prediction. CONCLUSION: An RF classifier was constructed to predict the treatment response of anti-VEGF from OCT images of DME patients with high accuracy. The algorithm contributes to predicting treatment requirements in advance and provides an optimal individualized therapeutic regimen.
目的:利用基于机器学习的可解释系统,从治疗起始阶段的光学相干断层扫描(OCT)预测糖尿病黄斑水肿(DME)患者的抗血管内皮生长因子(VEGF)治疗反应。
方法:共纳入 712 例 DME 患者,根据连续 3 次注射后中心黄斑厚度的减少情况,将其分为差反应组和优反应组。利用深度学习算法从基线 OCT 扫描中自动提取相关特征,构建机器学习模型进行预测。采用五折交叉验证对模型进行优化和评估。然后将表现最佳的模型与两名眼科医生进行比较。进一步研究特征重要性,并进行 Wilcoxon 秩和检验评估两组之间单个特征的差异。
结果:712 例患者中,294 例为差反应者,418 例为优反应者。随机森林(RF)在预测任务中表现最佳,其敏感性、特异性和受试者工作特征曲线下面积分别为 0.900、0.851 和 0.923。眼科医生 1 和眼科医生 2 的敏感性分别为 0.775 和 0.750,特异性分别为 0.716 和 0.821。研究发现,高反射点的总和是预测最相关的特征。
结论:构建了一个 RF 分类器,可从 DME 患者的 OCT 图像中准确预测抗 VEGF 的治疗反应。该算法有助于提前预测治疗需求,并提供最佳的个体化治疗方案。
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